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Championship

Referee: James Linington

Brentford

U S U T T

3–4

Full-time

Nott'm Forest

T S T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Brentford Nott'm Forest

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

33%

50%

Points per game

1,3

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

50%

33%

Both score Ø 42%

67%

17%

Average goals

2,8

2,2

Scored

1,7

1,2

Conceded

1,2

1,0

Goal diff per game

+0,5

+0,2

This season — Championship · 1/1 matches

Win Ø 50%

100%

Points per game

0,0

3,0

Over 2.5 Ø 0%

Both score Ø 0%

Average goals

1,0

Scored

0,0

1,0

Conceded

1,0

0,0

Goal diff per game

-1,0

+1,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–2

57% Possession 43%

20 Shots 13

9 Shots on target 6

4 Blocked shots 0

2 Goalkeeper saves 6

12 Corners 3

3 Offside 3

11 Free kicks against 13

1 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Brentford 17. · Nott'm Forest 6. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bristol City	1	1	0	0	+2	3
2	QPR	1	1	0	0	+2	3
3	Leeds	1	1	0	0	+1	3
4	Sheffield United	1	1	0	0	+1	3
5	Wolves	1	1	0	0	+1	3
6	Nott'm Forest	1	1	0	0	+1	3
7	Ipswich	1	1	0	0	+1	3
8	Preston	1	1	0	0	+1	3
9	Cardiff	1	1	0	0	+1	3
10	Aston Villa	1	0	1	0	+0	1
11	Hull	1	0	1	0	+0	1
12	Fulham	1	0	1	0	+0	1
13	Norwich	1	0	1	0	+0	1
14	Sunderland	1	0	1	0	+0	1
15	Derby	1	0	1	0	+0	1
16	Bolton	1	0	0	1	-1	0
17	Brentford	1	0	0	1	-1	0
18	Middlesbrough	1	0	0	1	-1	0
19	Millwall	1	0	0	1	-1	0
20	Birmingham	1	0	0	1	-1	0
21	Sheffield Weds	1	0	0	1	-1	0
22	Burton Albion	1	0	0	1	-1	0
23	Barnsley	1	0	0	1	-2	0
24	Reading	1	0	0	1	-2	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bristol City	1	1	0	0	+2	3
2	QPR	1	1	0	0	+2	3
3	Sheffield United	1	1	0	0	+1	3
4	Wolves	1	1	0	0	+1	3
5	Nott'm Forest	1	1	0	0	+1	3
6	Ipswich	1	1	0	0	+1	3
7	Preston	1	1	0	0	+1	3
8	Aston Villa	1	0	1	0	+0	1
9	Fulham	1	0	1	0	+0	1
10	Sunderland	1	0	1	0	+0	1
11	Bolton	1	0	0	1	-1	0
12	Burton Albion	1	0	0	1	-1	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Leeds	1	1	0	0	+1	3
2	Cardiff	1	1	0	0	+1	3
3	Hull	1	0	1	0	+0	1
4	Norwich	1	0	1	0	+0	1
5	Derby	1	0	1	0	+0	1
6	Brentford	1	0	0	1	-1	0
7	Middlesbrough	1	0	0	1	-1	0
8	Millwall	1	0	0	1	-1	0
9	Birmingham	1	0	0	1	-1	0
10	Sheffield Weds	1	0	0	1	-1	0
11	Barnsley	1	0	0	1	-2	0
12	Reading	1	0	0	1	-2	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.