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OBOS-ligaen
Aalesund
S U S S U
3–1
Full-time
Raufoss
S T T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Aalesund Raufoss
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
67%
33%
Points per game
2,3
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
83%
67%
Both score Ø 75%
83%
67%
Average goals
4,0
2,5
Scored
2,8
1,0
Conceded
1,2
1,5
Goal diff per game
+1,7
-0,5
This season — OBOS-ligaen · 25/25 matches
Win Ø 64%
80%
48%
Points per game
2,6
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 66%
64%
68%
Both score Ø 66%
64%
68%
Average goals
3,2
3,4
Scored
2,3
1,6
Conceded
0,9
1,8
Goal diff per game
+1,4
-0,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Aalesund 1. · Raufoss 7.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Aalesund 25 20 4 1 +35 64
2 Start 26 17 4 5 +21 55
3 Sandefjord 25 15 8 2 +18 53
4 Nest-Sotra 26 12 6 8 +10 42
5 KFUM Oslo 26 11 8 7 +13 41
6 Kongsvinger 25 11 4 10 +0 37
7 Raufoss 25 12 1 12 -5 37
8 Sogndal 25 10 5 10 +5 35
9 Ham-Kam 26 10 5 11 +0 35
10 Jerv 26 8 9 9 -12 33
11 Sandnes ULF 25 9 5 11 +2 32
12 Ull/Kisa 25 9 5 11 +0 32
13 Notodden 25 6 4 15 -13 22
14 Strommen 26 4 10 12 -16 22
15 Skeid 26 3 9 14 -15 18
16 Tromsdalen Uil 26 2 3 21 -43 9

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

23. Jun -19 Raufoss – Aalesund 2–1

Match report

Aalesund Raufoss
1–0 J. Meade
8′
2–0 N. Castro
18′
Half-time 2–0
64′
🔁 Ikhsan Fandi
↦ G. Simenstad
P. Gueye 🟨
69′
70′
🟨 P. Bizoza
73′
🔁 E. Breivik
↦ M. Alm
3–0 N. Castro
76′
Nenass 🔁
↦ T. Agdestein
81′
85′
🔁 N. Fremstad
↦ M. Moldskred
90′
E. Dadjo 3–1
Full-time 3–1

Line-ups

Aalesund

1 A. Lie
5 O. Lie
4 J. Grønner
3 D. Grétarsson
19 J. Meade
16 J. Hatlehol
8 F. Carlsen
11 A. Þrándarson
23 T. Agdestein
9 N. Castro
14 H. Guèye
Bench (7)
7 Nenass
15 S. Sæthre
17 S. Fet
18 D. Ólafsson
21 P. Larsen
26 M. Berntzen
27 W. Azofeifa

Coach: L. Bohinen

Raufoss

1 O. Lauvli
4 S. Simenstad
5 M. Alm
19 P. Bizoza
7 E. Dadjo
6 S. Nilsen
10 R. Doghman
17 S. Owusu
8 M. Moldskred
20 G. Simenstad
14 O. Løken
Bench (7)
18 Ikhsan Fandi
27 E. Breivik
11 N. Fremstad
2 E. Race
9 A. Henningsson
16 S. Giæver
23 R. Johnsen

Coach: C. Johnsen

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.