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OBOS-ligaen
Nest-Sotra
S S S S S
0–1
Full-time
Aalesund
S U S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Nest-Sotra Aalesund
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 83%
83%
83%
Points per game
2,5
2,7
Over 2.5 Ø 58%
33%
83%
Both score Ø 50%
17%
83%
Average goals
2,0
3,2
Scored
1,5
2,2
Conceded
0,5
1,0
Goal diff per game
+1,0
+1,2
This season — OBOS-ligaen · 28/28 matches
Win Ø 66%
50%
82%
Points per game
1,7
2,6
Over 2.5 Ø 55%
46%
64%
Both score Ø 57%
50%
64%
Average goals
2,4
3,1
Scored
1,5
2,3
Conceded
1,0
0,9
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+1,4
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Nest-Sotra 4. · Aalesund 1.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Aalesund 28 23 4 1 +39 73
2 Sandefjord 28 18 8 2 +24 62
3 Start 28 17 5 6 +20 56
4 Nest-Sotra 28 14 6 8 +14 48
5 Kongsvinger 28 13 4 11 +1 43
6 KFUM Oslo 28 11 9 8 +12 42
7 Sogndal 28 12 6 10 +10 42
8 Raufoss 28 12 2 14 -8 38
9 Ull/Kisa 28 10 6 12 -1 36
10 Sandnes ULF 28 10 5 13 -1 35
11 Ham-Kam 28 10 5 13 -2 35
12 Jerv 28 8 9 11 -17 33
13 Strommen 28 6 10 12 -14 28
14 Notodden 28 6 6 16 -16 24
15 Skeid 28 3 9 16 -17 18
16 Tromsdalen Uil 28 2 4 22 -44 10

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Nest-Sotra Aalesund
13′
🟨 Nenass
18′
🟨 D. Olafsson
T. Okland 🟨
20′
Half-time 0–0
71′
🔁 S. Fet
↦ P. Larsen
P. Nergard 🔁
↦ T. Svendsen
73′
77′
🔁 H. Fridjonsson
↦ H. Guèye
T. Okland 🟨
80′
T. Okland 🟥
80′
J. Hestetun 🟨
83′
84′
N. Castro 0–1
A. Petersson 🔁
↦ E. Nurkic
90′
90′
🔁 H. Breivik
↦ N. Castro
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

Nest-Sotra

1 R. Fij
68 E. Nurkic
5 B. Haugsdal
3 D. Arrocha
14 T. Økland
29 K. Stephensen
21 M. Sande
27 T. Svendsen
4 J. Hestetun
7 J. Aas
77 M. Mehnert
Bench (6)
6 P. Nergard
20 A. Petersson
2 E. Larsen
17 V. Radojkic
22 M. Songve
99 E. Harloff

Coach: S. Landro

Aalesund

1 A. Lie
4 J. Grønner
3 D. Grétarsson
15 S. Sæthre
18 D. Ólafsson
16 J. Hatlehol
21 P. Larsen
7 Nenass
23 T. Agdestein
9 N. Castro
14 H. Guèye
Bench (7)
17 S. Fet
10 H. Fridjonsson
28 H. Breivik
5 O. Lie
8 F. Carlsen
19 J. Meade
26 M. Berntzen

Coach: L. Bohinen

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.