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Championship
Referee: Andy Madley
Middlesbrough
U S U T S
2–0
Full-time
QPR
T T T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Middlesbrough QPR
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
50%
0%
Points per game
1,8
0,0
Over 2.5 Ø 58%
33%
83%
Both score Ø 75%
67%
83%
Average goals
2,3
4,0
Scored
1,3
1,3
Conceded
1,0
2,7
Goal diff per game
+0,3
-1,3
This season — Championship · 32/32 matches
Win Ø 39%
44%
34%
Points per game
1,7
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
25%
59%
Both score Ø 46%
41%
50%
Average goals
1,9
2,8
Scored
1,1
1,3
Conceded
0,8
1,6
Goal diff per game
+0,4
-0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

45% Possession 55%
10 Shots 9
4 Shots on target 4
1 Blocked shots 2
4 Goalkeeper saves 2
4 Corners 3
3 Offside 0
13 Free kicks against 11
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Middlesbrough 5. · QPR 18.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Norwich 33 18 9 6 +23 63
2 Sheffield United 33 18 7 8 +24 61
3 West Brom 31 16 8 7 +23 56
4 Leeds 30 16 7 7 +12 55
5 Middlesbrough 32 14 12 6 +12 54
6 Bristol City 31 15 8 8 +10 53
7 Derby 30 14 9 7 +11 51
8 Nott'm Forest 33 11 14 8 +8 47
9 Birmingham 32 11 13 8 +9 46
10 Preston 33 11 11 11 +3 44
11 Hull 32 12 8 12 +3 44
12 Swansea 32 12 8 12 +3 44
13 Aston Villa 31 10 13 8 +6 43
14 Blackburn 33 11 10 12 -7 43
15 Sheffield Weds 32 10 11 11 -11 41
16 Brentford 31 10 10 11 +7 40
17 Stoke 33 9 13 11 -7 40
18 QPR 32 11 6 15 -9 39
19 Millwall 32 8 10 14 -10 34
20 Wigan 32 9 7 16 -14 34
21 Reading 33 6 11 16 -15 29
22 Rotherham 33 5 14 14 -20 29
23 Bolton 33 6 8 19 -30 26
24 Ipswich 33 3 11 19 -31 20

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Middlesbrough QPR
1–0 J. Howson
2′
Muhamed Bešić 🟨
14′
2–0 A. Fletcher
M. Bešić
32′
Half-time 2–0
46′
🔁 B. Osayi-Samuel
↦ R. Manning
S. Downing 🔁
↦ M. Bešić
59′
Jonathan Howson 🟨
63′
69′
🔁 M. Smith
↦ T. Hemed
70′
🟨 Jordan Cousins
M. Tavernier 🔁
↦ A. Fletcher
73′
J. Hugill 🔁
↦ B. Assombalonga
78′
81′
🔁 N. Wells
↦ P. Wszołek
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

Middlesbrough

3-5-2
23 D. Randolph G
5 R. Shotton D
4 Daniel Ayala D
2 J. Obi Mikel M
16 J. Howson M
37 M. Bešić M
22 G. Saville M
20 D. Fry D
26 L. Wing M
9 B. Assombalonga F
18 A. Fletcher F
Bench (7)
19 S. Downing
28 M. Tavernier
11 J. Hugill
17 P. McNair
29 R. van La Parra
1 D. Konstantopoulos
8 A. Clayton

Coach: T. Pulis

QPR

4-4-1-1
13 J. Lumley G
4 G. Hall D
3 J. Bidwell D
37 T. Leistner D
2 D. Furlong D
23 P. Wszołek M
8 J. Cousins M
21 M. Luongo M
14 R. Manning M
10 E. Eze F
16 T. Hemed F
Bench (7)
20 B. Osayi-Samuel
17 M. Smith
32 N. Wells
24 O. Kakay
33 J. Lynch
1 M. Ingram
11 J. Scowen

Coach: S. McClaren

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Andy Madley · 129 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,2 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
21,0 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,11 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.