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Eredivisie
Referee: Pol van Boekel
For Sittard
T S T S T
2–4
Full-time
Heerenveen
U T U U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

For Sittard Heerenveen
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
33%
0%
Points per game
1,2
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
83%
67%
Both score Ø 67%
50%
83%
Average goals
4,2
4,3
Scored
1,2
1,8
Conceded
3,0
2,5
Goal diff per game
-1,8
-0,7
This season — Eredivisie · 22/22 matches
Win Ø 28%
32%
23%
Points per game
1,2
1,1
Over 2.5 Ø 73%
77%
68%
Both score Ø 71%
64%
77%
Average goals
3,8
4,3
Scored
1,6
2,0
Conceded
2,2
2,3
Goal diff per game
-0,5
-0,2
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–1

52% Possession 48%
12 Shots 22
4 Shots on target 12
4 Blocked shots 3
8 Goalkeeper saves 2
2 Corners 10
2 Offside 2
8 Free kicks against 12
4 Yellow cards 1
1 Red cards 0
The table before the match For Sittard 10. · Heerenveen 15.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 PSV Eindhoven 22 18 3 1 +58 57
2 Ajax 22 17 2 3 +58 53
3 Feyenoord 22 13 3 6 +19 42
4 AZ Alkmaar 22 12 4 6 +20 40
5 Heracles 22 11 2 9 +1 35
6 Utrecht 21 8 6 7 +2 30
7 VVV Venlo 23 8 5 10 -11 29
8 Vitesse 19 7 6 6 +2 27
9 Den Haag 22 7 6 9 -11 27
10 For Sittard 22 7 5 10 -12 26
11 Excelsior 23 7 5 11 -22 26
12 Willem II 22 7 4 11 -8 25
13 Zwolle 22 7 4 11 -9 25
14 Groningen 20 7 3 10 -2 24
15 Heerenveen 22 5 9 8 -5 24
16 FC Emmen 22 6 6 10 -21 24
17 De Graafschap 22 5 3 14 -29 18
18 NAC Breda 22 4 4 14 -30 16

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

For Sittard Heerenveen
1–0 L. Lamprou
C. Mac-Intosch
7′
Lazaros Lamprou 🟨
17′
21′
🟨 Jizz Hornkamp
2–0 M. Diemers
Lisandro Semedo
31′
Kai Heerings 🟨
36′
José Rodríguez 🟨
45′
Half-time 2–1
46′
D. Høegh 2–1
Y. Kobayashi
61′
M. van Bergen 2–2
Y. Kobayashi
71′
🔁 N. Mihajlović
↦ M. van Bergen
José Rodríguez 🟨
73′
José Rodríguez 🟥
73′
74′
S. Lammers 2–3
C. Essers 🔁
↦ Lisandro Semedo
75′
L. Hutten 🔁
↦ A. El Messaoudi
79′
84′
S. Lammers 2–4
M. Vlap
85′
🔁 P. van Amersfoort
↦ D. Johnsen
95′
🔁 M. Thorsby
↦ B. Rienstra
Full-time 2–4

Line-ups

For Sittard

4-3-3
77 A. Koşelev G
15 C. Mac-Intosch
4 K. Heerings D
23 Mica Pinto D
34 José Rodríguez M
10 M. Diemers M
8 A. El Messaoudi M
6 J. Smeets M
14 Lisandro Semedo F
97 L. Lamprou F
9 A. Novakovich F
Bench (10)
2 C. Essers
25 L. Hutten
28 A. Jug
99 A. Balić
17 A. Ciranni
21 A. Dobos
13 M. Ospitalieri
1 A. Özer
30 R. Ramírez
24 M. Dembele

Coach: R. Eijer

Heerenveen

4-3-3
1 W. Hahn G
3 D. Høegh D
16 L. Woudenberg D
5 K. Pierie D
21 Y. Kobayashi M
10 B. Rienstra M
18 M. Vlap M
17 D. Johnsen F
9 S. Lammers F
11 M. van Bergen F
35 J. Hornkamp F
Bench (7)
7 N. Mihajlović
19 P. van Amersfoort
8 M. Thorsby
23 F. Bednarek
4 A. Skovgaard
15 R. Kongolo
14 I. Dresevic

Coach: J. Olde Riekerink

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Pol van Boekel · 79 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,4 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
15,8 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,16 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.