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Pro League
Referee: Jan Boterberg
Eupen
S T T T U
2–3
Full-time
Waregem
T S S U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Eupen Waregem
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,2
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
2,8
3,2
Scored
1,3
1,7
Conceded
1,5
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+0,2
This season — Pro League · 26/26 matches
Win Ø 31%
35%
27%
Points per game
1,1
1,1
Over 2.5 Ø 66%
58%
73%
Both score Ø 64%
54%
73%
Average goals
2,9
3,5
Scored
1,1
1,6
Conceded
1,8
2,0
Goal diff per game
-0,7
-0,4
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

7 Corners 9
3 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Eupen 11. · Waregem 12.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 St Truiden 26 11 10 5 +12 43
2 Charleroi 26 11 5 10 +2 38
3 Genk 17 11 4 2 +21 37
4 Antwerp 17 12 1 4 +12 37
5 Standard 17 10 5 2 +17 35
6 Kortrijk 26 9 7 10 -3 34
7 Gent 17 10 2 5 +14 32
8 Royal Excel Mouscron 26 9 5 12 -2 32
9 Club Brugge 17 9 4 4 +16 31
10 Anderlecht 17 9 4 4 +11 31
11 Eupen 26 9 2 15 -18 29
12 Waregem 26 7 7 12 -10 28
13 Cercle Brugge 26 7 6 13 -20 27
14 Beveren 26 5 10 11 -8 25
15 Oostende 26 6 7 13 -20 25
16 Lokeren 26 4 5 17 -24 17

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Eupen Waregem
1–0 Nils Schouterden
9′
29′
🟨 Marco Burki
37′
Hamdi Harbaoui 1–1
Sulayman Marreh 🟨
40′
Half-time 1–1
Xavier Molina 🟨
51′
51′
🟨 Hamdi Harbaoui
65′
Idrissa Sylla 1–2
Youssef Msakni 🔁
↦ Jean Thierry Lazare Amani
71′
Silas Gnaka 🟨
75′
Alessio Castro-Montes 🔁
↦ David Pollet
75′
76′
Hamdi Harbaoui 1–3
Samuel Essende 🔁
↦ Silas Gnaka
80′
85′
🔁 Mikael Soisalo
↦ Nill De Pauw
88′
🔁 Damien Marcq
↦ Idrissa Sylla
2–3 Luis Garcia
90′
90′
🟨 Marco Burki
90′
🟥 Marco Burki
90′
🔁 Thomas Buffel
↦ Theo Bongonda
Full-time 2–3

Line-ups

Eupen

4-1-4-1
1 Hendrik Van Crombrugge G
44 Xavier Molina D
25 Rocky Bushiri Kiranga D
22 Siebe Blondelle D
24 Silas Gnaka D
15 Sulayman Marreh M
70 Mamadou Fall F
10 Luis Garcia F
8 Jean Thierry Lazare Amani M
18 Nils Schouterden M
9 David Pollet F
Bench (7)
33 Abdul Manaf Nurudeen
4 Jordan Lotiès
6 Remi Mulumba
77 Danijel Miličević
14 Alessio Castro-Montes
23 Samuel Essende
17 Youssef Msakni

Waregem

4-4-2
1 Sammy Bossut G
2 Davy de Fauw D
62 Ewoud Pletinckx D
8 Hicham Faik M
23 Marco Burki D
11 Nill De Pauw F
22 Florian Tardieu M
20 Henrik Bjørdal M
10 Theo Bongonda M
40 Idrissa Sylla F
9 Hamdi Harbaoui F
Bench (7)
25 Louis Bostyn
5 Damien Marcq
57 Mathieu De Smet
17 Mikael Soisalo
7 Thomas Buffel
12 Chris Bedia
Jonas Taillieu

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Jan Boterberg · 49 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,6 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
19,6 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,22 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.