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Bundesliga
Referee: Wolfgang Stark
Hamburg
T S T S
0–0
Full-time

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Hamburg Ein Frankfurt
Last 6 — all competitions · 4/4 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,5
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 88%
100%
75%
Both score Ø 75%
50%
100%
Average goals
4,0
4,5
Scored
1,8
3,0
Conceded
2,3
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,5
+1,5
This season — Bundesliga · 4/4 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,5
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 88%
100%
75%
Both score Ø 75%
50%
100%
Average goals
4,0
4,5
Scored
1,8
3,0
Conceded
2,3
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,5
+1,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

50% Possession 50%
10 Shots 7
1 Shots on target 4
3 Goalkeeper saves 1
5 Corners 11
4 Offside 5
0 Free kicks against 0
0 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Hamburg 12. · Ein Frankfurt 5.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Dortmund 4 4 0 0 +12 12
2 Bayern Munich 4 4 0 0 +10 12
3 Mainz 5 3 0 2 +4 9
4 Wolfsburg 4 2 2 0 +4 8
5 Ein Frankfurt 4 2 1 1 +6 7
6 Schalke 04 4 2 1 1 +1 7
7 Werder Bremen 4 2 1 1 +0 7
8 Hertha 4 2 1 1 +0 7
9 FC Koln 4 2 1 1 -1 7
10 FC Ingolstadt 04 4 2 1 1 -2 7
11 Darmstadt 4 1 3 0 +1 6
12 Hamburg 4 2 0 2 -2 6
13 Leverkusen 4 2 0 2 -2 6
14 Augsburg 4 0 1 3 -3 1
15 Hoffenheim 5 0 1 4 -6 1
16 Hannover 4 0 1 3 -6 1
17 Stuttgart 4 0 0 4 -7 0
18 M'gladbach 4 0 0 4 -9 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Hamburg Ein Frankfurt
9′
🟨 Makoto Hasebe
Half-time 0–0
65′
🟨 Haris Seferović
67′
🟨 Marco Russ
M. Gregoritsch 🔁
↦ N. Müller
68′
75′
🟨 Bastian Oczipka
I. Olić 🔁
↦ I. Iličević
76′
84′
🔁 S. Aigner
↦ L. Castaignos
S. Schipplock 🔁
↦ P. Lasogga
87′
89′
🔁 J. Flum
↦ M. Stendera
92′
🔁 S. Medojević
↦ M. Hasebe
Full-time 0–0

Line-ups

Hamburg

1 J. Drobný G
5 J. Djourou
4 E. Spahić D
2 D. Diekmeier D
22 M. Ostrzolek M
7 I. Iličević M
14 A. Hunt M
40 G. Kačar M
27 N. Müller M
8 L. Holtby M
10 P. Lasogga F
Bench (7)
23 M. Gregoritsch
11 I. Olić
9 S. Schipplock
3 Cleber Reis
15 R. Adler
21 M. Diaz
24 G. Sakai

Ein Frankfurt

1 L. Hradecky G
4 M. Russ D
19 D. Abraham D
6 B. Oczipka M
14 A. Meier F
20 M. Hasebe D
7 S. Reinartz M
27 A. Ignjovski M
21 M. Stendera M
9 H. Seferović F
30 L. Castaignos F
Bench (7)
16 S. Aigner
18 J. Flum
25 S. Medojević
5 C. Zambrano
10 V. Kadlec
13 H. Lindner
24 L. Waldschmidt

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Wolfgang Stark · 35 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,3 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
13,3 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,11 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.