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Bundesliga

Referee: Frank Willenborg

Darmstadt

S T T S T

1–1

Full-time

Hoffenheim

T T U U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Darmstadt Hoffenheim

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

33%

17%

Points per game

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

50%

67%

Both score Ø 50%

33%

67%

Average goals

2,8

3,5

Scored

0,7

1,5

Conceded

2,2

2,0

Goal diff per game

-1,5

-0,5

This season — Bundesliga · 3/3 matches

Win Ø 17%

33%

Points per game

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

33%

67%

Both score Ø 34%

67%

Average goals

3,0

4,0

Scored

0,3

2,0

Conceded

2,7

2,0

Goal diff per game

-2,3

+0,0

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

28% Possession 72%

12 Shots 15

3 Shots on target 4

2 Blocked shots 6

3 Goalkeeper saves 2

2 Corners 6

7 Offside 0

16 Free kicks against 18

1 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Darmstadt 14. · Hoffenheim 10. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bayern Munich	3	3	0	0	+10	9
2	Hertha	3	3	0	0	+5	9
3	RB Leipzig	3	2	1	0	+5	7
4	FC Koln	3	2	1	0	+5	7
5	Dortmund	3	2	0	1	+6	6
6	M'gladbach	3	2	0	1	+2	6
7	Ein Frankfurt	3	2	0	1	+1	6
8	Wolfsburg	3	1	2	0	+2	5
9	Mainz	3	1	1	1	+1	4
10	Hoffenheim	3	0	3	0	+0	3
11	Leverkusen	3	1	0	2	+0	3
12	Freiburg	3	1	0	2	-2	3
13	Augsburg	3	1	0	2	-3	3
14	Darmstadt	3	1	0	2	-7	3
15	FC Ingolstadt 04	3	0	1	2	-4	1
16	Hamburg	3	0	1	2	-6	1
17	Schalke 04	3	0	0	3	-5	0
18	Werder Bremen	3	0	0	3	-10	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bayern Munich	2	2	0	0	+8	6
2	Dortmund	2	2	0	0	+7	6
3	FC Koln	2	2	0	0	+5	6
4	M'gladbach	2	2	0	0	+4	6
5	Hertha	2	2	0	0	+3	6
6	Ein Frankfurt	2	2	0	0	+2	6
7	Freiburg	1	1	0	0	+2	3
8	Leverkusen	1	1	0	0	+2	3
9	RB Leipzig	1	1	0	0	+1	3
10	Darmstadt	1	1	0	0	+1	3
11	Hoffenheim	2	0	2	0	+0	2
12	Mainz	1	0	1	0	+0	1
13	Wolfsburg	1	0	1	0	+0	1
14	Hamburg	2	0	1	1	-4	1
15	Werder Bremen	1	0	0	1	-1	0
16	Schalke 04	1	0	0	1	-2	0
17	FC Ingolstadt 04	1	0	0	1	-2	0
18	Augsburg	2	0	0	2	-4	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	RB Leipzig	2	1	1	0	+4	4
2	Wolfsburg	2	1	1	0	+2	4
3	Bayern Munich	1	1	0	0	+2	3
4	Hertha	1	1	0	0	+2	3
5	Mainz	2	1	0	1	+1	3
6	Augsburg	1	1	0	0	+1	3
7	Hoffenheim	1	0	1	0	+0	1
8	FC Koln	1	0	1	0	+0	1
9	FC Ingolstadt 04	2	0	1	1	-2	1
10	Dortmund	1	0	0	1	-1	0
11	Ein Frankfurt	1	0	0	1	-1	0
12	Leverkusen	2	0	0	2	-2	0
13	M'gladbach	1	0	0	1	-2	0
14	Hamburg	1	0	0	1	-2	0
15	Schalke 04	2	0	0	2	-3	0
16	Freiburg	2	0	0	2	-4	0
17	Darmstadt	2	0	0	2	-8	0
18	Werder Bremen	2	0	0	2	-9	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.