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Bundesliga

Referee: Markus Schmidt

Mainz

T U S U T

4–4

Full-time

Hoffenheim

T S T T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Mainz Hoffenheim

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

17%

33%

Points per game

0,8

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

67%

83%

Both score Ø 75%

67%

83%

Average goals

2,5

3,3

Scored

1,2

1,3

Conceded

1,3

2,0

Goal diff per game

-0,2

-0,7

This season — Bundesliga · 1/1 matches

Win Ø 0%

Points per game

0,0

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 100%

100%

Both score Ø 100%

100%

Average goals

3,0

4,0

Scored

1,0

2,0

Conceded

2,0

Goal diff per game

-1,0

+0,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 4–1

30% Possession 70%

12 Shots 20

6 Shots on target 5

1 Blocked shots 7

1 Goalkeeper saves 3

8 Corners 5

1 Offside 2

19 Free kicks against 16

1 Yellow cards 3

1 Red cards 0

The table before the match Mainz 16. · Hoffenheim 13. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bayern Munich	2	2	0	0	+8	6
2	Hertha	2	2	0	0	+3	6
3	Wolfsburg	2	1	1	0	+2	4
4	FC Koln	2	1	1	0	+2	4
5	RB Leipzig	2	1	1	0	+1	4
6	Freiburg	2	1	0	1	+1	3
7	Leverkusen	2	1	0	1	+1	3
8	Dortmund	2	1	0	1	+0	3
9	Ein Frankfurt	2	1	0	1	+0	3
10	M'gladbach	2	1	0	1	-1	3
11	Augsburg	2	1	0	1	-1	3
12	Darmstadt	2	1	0	1	-1	3
13	Hoffenheim	1	0	1	0	+0	1
14	Hamburg	2	0	1	1	-2	1
15	FC Ingolstadt 04	2	0	1	1	-2	1
16	Mainz	1	0	0	1	-1	0
17	Schalke 04	2	0	0	2	-3	0
18	Werder Bremen	2	0	0	2	-7	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bayern Munich	1	1	0	0	+6	3
2	Freiburg	1	1	0	0	+2	3
3	Leverkusen	1	1	0	0	+2	3
4	FC Koln	1	1	0	0	+2	3
5	Hertha	1	1	0	0	+1	3
6	Dortmund	1	1	0	0	+1	3
7	M'gladbach	1	1	0	0	+1	3
8	Ein Frankfurt	1	1	0	0	+1	3
9	RB Leipzig	1	1	0	0	+1	3
10	Darmstadt	1	1	0	0	+1	3
11	Hoffenheim	1	0	1	0	+0	1
12	Hamburg	1	0	1	0	+0	1
13	Wolfsburg	1	0	1	0	+0	1
14	Werder Bremen	1	0	0	1	-1	0
15	Augsburg	1	0	0	1	-2	0
16	Schalke 04	1	0	0	1	-2	0
17	FC Ingolstadt 04	1	0	0	1	-2	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Wolfsburg	1	1	0	0	+2	3
2	Bayern Munich	1	1	0	0	+2	3
3	Hertha	1	1	0	0	+2	3
4	Augsburg	1	1	0	0	+1	3
5	RB Leipzig	1	0	1	0	+0	1
6	FC Ingolstadt 04	1	0	1	0	+0	1
7	FC Koln	1	0	1	0	+0	1
8	Freiburg	1	0	0	1	-1	0
9	Mainz	1	0	0	1	-1	0
10	Leverkusen	1	0	0	1	-1	0
11	Schalke 04	1	0	0	1	-1	0
12	Dortmund	1	0	0	1	-1	0
13	Ein Frankfurt	1	0	0	1	-1	0
14	M'gladbach	1	0	0	1	-2	0
15	Hamburg	1	0	0	1	-2	0
16	Darmstadt	1	0	0	1	-2	0
17	Werder Bremen	1	0	0	1	-6	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.