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La Liga

Referee: Ignacio Iglesias Villanueva

Malaga

S U U T T

2–1

Full-time

Eibar

T T S S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Malaga Eibar

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

17%

33%

Points per game

0,8

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

33%

50%

Both score Ø 67%

50%

83%

Average goals

2,5

2,8

Scored

1,2

1,3

Conceded

1,3

1,5

Goal diff per game

-0,2

This season — La Liga · 4/4 matches

Win Ø 25%

50%

Points per game

0,5

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 38%

25%

50%

Both score Ø 63%

50%

75%

Average goals

2,3

Scored

0,8

1,3

Conceded

1,5

1,0

Goal diff per game

-0,8

+0,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

54% Possession 46%

14 Shots 12

6 Shots on target 3

2 Blocked shots 3

2 Goalkeeper saves 4

7 Corners 5

5 Offside 2

7 Free kicks against 13

2 Yellow cards 4

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Malaga 15. · Eibar 7. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Real Madrid	4	4	0	0	+9	12
2	Barcelona	4	3	0	1	+8	9
3	Las Palmas	4	3	0	1	+6	9
4	Ath Madrid	4	2	2	0	+9	8
5	Sevilla	4	2	2	0	+3	8
6	Villarreal	4	2	2	0	+3	8
7	Eibar	4	2	1	1	+1	7
8	Sp Gijon	4	2	1	1	-3	7
9	Alaves	4	1	3	0	+1	6
10	Ath Bilbao	4	2	0	2	+0	6
11	La Coruna	4	1	2	1	+0	5
12	Betis	4	1	2	1	-3	5
13	Sociedad	4	1	1	2	-2	4
14	Leganes	4	1	1	2	-4	4
15	Malaga	4	0	2	2	-3	2
16	Espanol	4	0	2	2	-4	2
17	Granada	4	0	2	2	-5	2
18	Osasuna	4	0	2	2	-5	2
19	Celta	4	0	1	3	-6	1
20	Valencia	4	0	0	4	-5	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Las Palmas	2	2	0	0	+5	6
2	Real Madrid	2	2	0	0	+4	6
3	Sevilla	2	2	0	0	+3	6
4	Sp Gijon	2	2	0	0	+2	6
5	Ath Madrid	2	1	1	0	+5	4
6	Eibar	2	1	1	0	+1	4
7	Villarreal	2	1	1	0	+1	4
8	Barcelona	2	1	0	1	+3	3
9	Ath Bilbao	2	1	0	1	+0	3
10	La Coruna	2	1	0	1	+0	3
11	Betis	2	0	2	0	+0	2
12	Alaves	2	0	2	0	+0	2
13	Granada	2	0	1	1	-1	1
14	Espanol	2	0	1	1	-2	1
15	Malaga	2	0	1	1	-2	1
16	Osasuna	2	0	1	1	-2	1
17	Sociedad	2	0	1	1	-3	1
18	Leganes	2	0	1	1	-4	1
19	Valencia	2	0	0	2	-3	0
20	Celta	2	0	0	2	-5	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Barcelona	2	2	0	0	+5	6
2	Real Madrid	2	2	0	0	+5	6
3	Ath Madrid	2	1	1	0	+4	4
4	Villarreal	2	1	1	0	+2	4
5	Alaves	2	1	1	0	+1	4
6	Las Palmas	2	1	0	1	+1	3
7	Sociedad	2	1	0	1	+1	3
8	Eibar	2	1	0	1	+0	3
9	Leganes	2	1	0	1	+0	3
10	Ath Bilbao	2	1	0	1	+0	3
11	Betis	2	1	0	1	-3	3
12	Sevilla	2	0	2	0	+0	2
13	La Coruna	2	0	2	0	+0	2
14	Malaga	2	0	1	1	-1	1
15	Celta	2	0	1	1	-1	1
16	Espanol	2	0	1	1	-2	1
17	Osasuna	2	0	1	1	-3	1
18	Granada	2	0	1	1	-4	1
19	Sp Gijon	2	0	1	1	-5	1
20	Valencia	2	0	0	2	-2	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.