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Bundesliga
Referee: Tobias Stieler
Hoffenheim
S T S T T
2–2
Full-time

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

56% Possession 44%
11 Shots 23
5 Shots on target 9
1 Blocked shots 7
7 Goalkeeper saves 3
2 Corners 9
1 Offside 1
12 Free kicks against 14
2 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Bayern Munich 1 1 0 0 +6 3
2 Wolfsburg 1 1 0 0 +2 3
3 FC Koln 1 1 0 0 +2 3
4 Hertha 1 1 0 0 +1 3
5 Dortmund 1 1 0 0 +1 3
6 M'gladbach 1 1 0 0 +1 3
7 Ein Frankfurt 1 1 0 0 +1 3
8 Hamburg 1 0 1 0 +0 1
9 FC Ingolstadt 04 1 0 1 0 +0 1
10 Freiburg 1 0 0 1 -1 0
11 Mainz 1 0 0 1 -1 0
12 Leverkusen 1 0 0 1 -1 0
13 Schalke 04 1 0 0 1 -1 0
14 Augsburg 1 0 0 1 -2 0
15 Darmstadt 1 0 0 1 -2 0
16 Werder Bremen 1 0 0 1 -6 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Hoffenheim RB Leipzig
20′
🟨 Willi Orbán
Kevin Vogt 🟨
22′
Half-time 0–0
P. Schwegler 🔁
↦ K. Vogt
46′
Fabian Schär 🟨
51′
54′
🟨 Marvin Compper
1–0 L. Rupp
55′
58′
D. Kaiser 1–1
D. Demme
63′
🔁 E. Forsberg
↦ M. Compper
N. Amiri 🔁
↦ L. Rupp
65′
74′
🟨 Stefan Ilsanker
79′
🟨 Diego Demme
M. Terrazzino 🔁
↦ A. Kramarić
79′
82′
🔁 D. Selke
↦ Y. Poulsen
2–1 M. Uth
S. Rudy
83′
86′
🔁 M. Bruno
↦ T. Werner
90′
M. Sabitzer 2–2
B. Schmitz
Full-time 2–2

Line-ups

Hoffenheim

4-3-3
1 O. Baumann G
5 F. Schär D
3 P. Kadeřábek M
25 N. Süle D
6 S. Rudy M
22 K. Vogt D
7 L. Rupp M
30 P. Ochs M
14 S. Wagner F
27 A. Kramarić F
19 M. Uth F
Bench (7)
16 P. Schwegler
18 N. Amiri
23 M. Terrazzino
4 E. Bičakčić
13 K. Demirbay
17 S. Zuber
33 A. Stolz

Coach: J. Nagelsmann

RB Leipzig

4-2-2-2
32 P. Gulácsi G
33 M. Compper D
23 M. Halstenberg D
4 W. Orban D
20 B. Schmitz D
13 S. Ilsanker M
31 D. Demme M
24 D. Kaiser M
7 M. Sabitzer M
9 Y. Poulsen F
11 T. Werner F
Bench (7)
10 E. Forsberg
27 D. Selke
17 M. Bruno
5 A. Nukan
6 R. Khedira
21 M. Müller
35 Z. Kalmár

Coach: R. Hasenhüttl

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Tobias Stieler · 91 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,6 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
21,6 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,20 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.