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La Liga
Referee: Javier Estrada Fernandez
Sevilla
T S U S U
1–0
Full-time
Betis
S T U S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sevilla Betis
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,3
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 83%
83%
83%
Average goals
4,0
3,7
Scored
1,8
1,7
Conceded
2,2
2,0
Goal diff per game
-0,3
-0,3
This season — La Liga · 4/4 matches
Win Ø 38%
50%
25%
Points per game
2,0
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 63%
50%
75%
Both score Ø 75%
75%
75%
Average goals
3,8
4,3
Scored
2,3
1,8
Conceded
1,5
2,5
Goal diff per game
+0,8
-0,8
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

55% Possession 45%
12 Shots 8
3 Shots on target 2
3 Blocked shots 3
2 Goalkeeper saves 2
6 Corners 2
1 Offside 1
24 Free kicks against 17
5 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Sevilla 5. · Betis 13.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Real Madrid 4 4 0 0 +9 12
2 Barcelona 4 3 0 1 +8 9
3 Las Palmas 4 3 0 1 +6 9
4 Ath Madrid 4 2 2 0 +9 8
5 Sevilla 4 2 2 0 +3 8
6 Villarreal 4 2 2 0 +3 8
7 Eibar 5 2 1 2 +0 7
8 Sp Gijon 4 2 1 1 -3 7
9 Alaves 4 1 3 0 +1 6
10 Ath Bilbao 4 2 0 2 +0 6
11 La Coruna 4 1 2 1 +0 5
12 Malaga 5 1 2 2 -2 5
13 Betis 4 1 2 1 -3 5
14 Sociedad 4 1 1 2 -2 4
15 Leganes 4 1 1 2 -4 4
16 Espanol 4 0 2 2 -4 2
17 Granada 4 0 2 2 -5 2
18 Osasuna 4 0 2 2 -5 2
19 Celta 4 0 1 3 -6 1
20 Valencia 4 0 0 4 -5 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Sevilla Betis
2′
🟨 Petros
11′
🟨 Germán Pezzella
Franco Vázquez 🟨
16′
Samir Nasri 🟨
32′
40′
🟨 Cristiano Piccini
Half-time 1–0
1–0 G. Mercado
S. Nasri
51′
61′
🔁 Dani Ceballos
↦ D. Brašanac
Pablo Sarabia 🔁
↦ Iborra
69′
69′
🔁 C. Musonda
↦ R. Durmisi
M. Kranevitter 🔁
↦ F. Vázquez
77′
Pablo Sarabia 🟨
78′
82′
🔁 R. Donk
↦ Joaquín
Nicolás Pareja 🟨
85′
Gabriel Mercado 🟨
85′
85′
🟨 Bruno González
Carlos Fernández 🔁
↦ L. Vietto
88′
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Sevilla

4-3-3
1 Sergio Rico G
21 N. Pareja
24 G. Mercado D
3 Mariano D
18 Sergio Escudero D
10 S. Nasri M
8 Iborra M
15 S. N'Zonzi M
20 Vitolo M
22 F. Vázquez M
9 L. Vietto F
Bench (7)
17 Pablo Sarabia
4 M. Kranevitter
30 Carlos Fernández
11 J. Correa
14 H. Kiyotake
25 S. Sirigu
32 Diego González

Coach: J. Sampaoli

Betis

4-2-3-1
13 Adán G
4 Bruno González D
14 R. Durmisi D
12 C. Piccini D
20 G. Pezzella D
17 Joaquín M
6 F. Gutiérrez M
5 Petros M
22 D. Brašanac M
24 Rubén Castro F
19 Álex Alegría F
Bench (7)
10 Dani Ceballos
7 C. Musonda
15 R. Donk
16 Cejudo
18 R. Zozulya
21 Fabián Ruiz
25 Manu Herrera

Coach: G. Poyet

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Javier Estrada Fernandez · 77 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,9 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
22,2 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,27 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.