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Bundesliga
Referee: Wolfgang Stark
Wolfsburg
S T T S T
1–2
Full-time
Werder Bremen
T T T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Wolfsburg Werder Bremen
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
50%
17%
Points per game
1,5
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
2,3
2,7
Scored
1,0
1,2
Conceded
1,3
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,3
-0,3
This season — Bundesliga · 21/21 matches
Win Ø 27%
29%
24%
Points per game
1,0
0,9
Over 2.5 Ø 64%
52%
76%
Both score Ø 62%
43%
81%
Average goals
2,4
3,2
Scored
0,9
1,2
Conceded
1,5
2,0
Goal diff per game
-0,6
-0,8
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–2

71% Possession 29%
27 Shots 7
6 Shots on target 3
4 Blocked shots 0
1 Goalkeeper saves 5
13 Corners 1
1 Offside 0
13 Free kicks against 15
1 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Wolfsburg 14. · Werder Bremen 16.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Bayern Munich 21 15 5 1 +33 50
2 RB Leipzig 21 14 3 4 +17 45
3 Dortmund 21 10 7 4 +20 37
4 Hoffenheim 21 9 10 2 +17 37
5 Ein Frankfurt 21 10 5 6 +5 35
6 Hertha 21 10 4 7 +4 34
7 FC Koln 21 8 9 4 +11 33
8 Leverkusen 21 9 3 9 +4 30
9 Freiburg 21 9 3 9 -8 30
10 Schalke 04 21 7 5 9 +3 26
11 M'gladbach 21 7 5 9 -6 26
12 Mainz 21 7 4 10 -8 25
13 Augsburg 21 6 6 9 -8 24
14 Wolfsburg 21 6 4 11 -12 22
15 Hamburg 21 5 5 11 -16 20
16 Werder Bremen 21 5 4 12 -16 19
17 FC Ingolstadt 04 21 5 3 13 -13 18
18 Darmstadt 21 3 3 15 -27 12

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Wolfsburg Werder Bremen
10′
S. Gnabry 0–1
18′
S. Gnabry 0–2
L. Sané
1–2 Borja Mayoral
D. Didavi
19′
45′
🟨 Fin Bartels
Half-time 1–2
60′
🔁 F. Kainz
↦ F. Bartels
M. Gómez 🔁
↦ D. Didavi
63′
69′
🟨 Felix Wiedwald
P. Ntep 🔁
↦ Borja Mayoral
74′
75′
🔁 F. Grillitsch
↦ M. Eggestein
Y. Gerhardt 🔁
↦ C. Träsch
81′
82′
🔁 C. Pizarro
↦ S. Gnabry
Maximilian Arnold 🟨
86′
90′
🟨 Lamine Sané
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Wolfsburg

3-4-2-1
1 D. Benaglio
15 C. Träsch M
34 R. Rodríguez D
31 R. Knoche D
21 J. Horn D
22 Luiz Gustavo M
14 J. Błaszczykowski M
11 D. Didavi M
10 Y. Mallı M
27 M. Arnold M
17 Borja Mayoral F
Bench (7)
33 M. Gómez
9 P. Ntep
13 Y. Gerhardt
5 J. Bruma
6 R. Bazoer
8 Vieirinha
28 K. Casteels

Coach: V. Ismaël

Werder Bremen

4-4-2
42 F. Wiedwald G
18 N. Moisander D
23 T. Gebre Selassie D
26 L. Sané D
4 R. Bauer D
16 Z. Junuzović M
22 F. Bartels F
29 S. Gnabry M
13 M. Veljkovic D
35 M. Eggestein M
10 M. Kruse F
Bench (7)
7 F. Kainz
27 F. Grillitsch
14 C. Pizarro
2 S. García
3 L. Caldirola
9 A. Jóhannsson
30 M. Zetterer

Coach: A. Nouri

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Wolfgang Stark · 35 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,3 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
13,3 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,11 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.