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Bundesliga
Referee: Deniz Aytekin
Werder Bremen
S T T T T
2–1
Full-time
Wolfsburg
S S U U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Werder Bremen Wolfsburg
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
17%
50%
Points per game
0,7
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
67%
33%
Both score Ø 42%
50%
33%
Average goals
3,0
2,2
Scored
0,7
1,2
Conceded
2,3
1,0
Goal diff per game
-1,7
+0,2
This season — Bundesliga · 4/4 matches
Win Ø 13%
0%
25%
Points per game
0,0
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 63%
100%
25%
Both score Ø 50%
75%
25%
Average goals
4,3
2,0
Scored
0,8
0,8
Conceded
3,5
1,3
Goal diff per game
-2,8
-0,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

39% Possession 61%
16 Shots 11
4 Shots on target 3
2 Blocked shots 4
3 Goalkeeper saves 2
6 Corners 2
3 Offside 1
17 Free kicks against 14
1 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Werder Bremen 18. · Wolfsburg 12.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Bayern Munich 5 5 0 0 +14 15
2 Dortmund 5 4 0 1 +12 12
3 FC Koln 4 3 1 0 +7 10
4 M'gladbach 5 3 1 1 +4 10
5 Ein Frankfurt 5 3 1 1 +3 10
6 Hertha 5 3 1 1 +2 10
7 RB Leipzig 4 2 2 0 +5 8
8 Mainz 5 2 1 2 +1 7
9 Leverkusen 5 2 1 2 +1 7
10 Augsburg 5 2 1 2 -2 7
11 Freiburg 5 2 0 3 -3 6
12 Wolfsburg 4 1 2 1 -2 5
13 Hoffenheim 4 0 4 0 +0 4
14 Darmstadt 5 1 1 3 -8 4
15 FC Ingolstadt 04 5 0 1 4 -8 1
16 Hamburg 5 0 1 4 -8 1
17 Schalke 04 4 0 0 4 -7 0
18 Werder Bremen 4 0 0 4 -11 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Werder Bremen Wolfsburg
26′
🟨 Jeffrey Bruma
40′
🟨 Paul Seguin
Half-time 0–0
46′
🔁 D. Caligiuri
↦ P. Seguin
49′
🟨 Jannes Horn
Zlatko Junuzović 🟨
61′
62′
🔁 Bruno Henrique
↦ J. Błaszczykowski
69′
R. Bauer 1–0
own goal
72′
🔁 R. Rodríguez
↦ J. Horn
L. Thy 🔁
↦ O. Manneh
73′
N. Schmidt 🔁
↦ C. Fritz
76′
2–0 L. Thy
S. Gnabry
86′
L. Fröde 🔁
↦ I. Hajrović
90′
3–0 T. Gebre Selassie
N. Schmidt
91′
Full-time 3–0

Line-ups

Werder Bremen

4-1-4-1
33 J. Drobný G
18 N. Moisander D
23 T. Gebre Selassie D
4 R. Bauer D
8 C. Fritz M
16 Z. Junuzović M
15 I. Hajrović M
27 F. Grillitsch M
29 S. Gnabry M
13 M. Veljkovic D
47 O. Manneh F
Bench (7)
11 L. Thy
38 N. Schmidt
39 L. Fröde
42 F. Wiedwald
37 J. Sternberg
20 U. Garcia
26 L. Sané

Coach: A. Nouri

Wolfsburg

4-1-4-1
28 K. Casteels G
2 P. Wollscheid D
5 J. Bruma D
21 J. Horn D
14 J. Błaszczykowski M
8 Vieirinha M
27 M. Arnold M
10 J. Draxler M
30 P. Seguin D
13 Y. Gerhardt M
33 M. Gómez F
Bench (7)
7 D. Caligiuri
16 Bruno Henrique
34 R. Rodríguez
31 R. Knoche
1 D. Benaglio
4 M. Schäfer
15 C. Träsch

Coach: D. Hecking

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Deniz Aytekin · 80 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,1 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
20,9 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,21 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.