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Bundesliga
Referee: Bastian Dankert
Wolfsburg
T T S S S
1–2
Full-time
Augsburg
U T S U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Wolfsburg Augsburg
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
50%
17%
Points per game
1,7
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
50%
0%
Both score Ø 42%
50%
33%
Average goals
2,8
1,3
Scored
1,2
0,5
Conceded
1,7
0,8
Goal diff per game
-0,5
-0,3
This season — Bundesliga · 17/17 matches
Win Ø 27%
29%
24%
Points per game
1,1
1,1
Over 2.5 Ø 38%
47%
29%
Both score Ø 44%
41%
47%
Average goals
2,4
1,9
Scored
0,9
0,8
Conceded
1,4
1,1
Goal diff per game
-0,5
-0,4
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

62% Possession 38%
11 Shots 11
5 Shots on target 5
3 Blocked shots 2
3 Goalkeeper saves 4
5 Corners 6
0 Offside 1
13 Free kicks against 17
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Wolfsburg 12. · Augsburg 13.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Bayern Munich 17 13 3 1 +30 42
2 RB Leipzig 17 12 3 2 +19 39
3 Ein Frankfurt 18 9 5 4 +8 32
4 Hoffenheim 17 7 10 0 +13 31
5 Dortmund 17 8 6 3 +17 30
6 Hertha 17 9 3 5 +6 30
7 FC Koln 17 6 8 3 +6 26
8 Leverkusen 17 7 3 7 +1 24
9 Freiburg 17 7 2 8 -7 23
10 Schalke 04 18 6 3 9 +1 21
11 Mainz 17 6 3 8 -4 21
12 Wolfsburg 17 5 4 8 -8 19
13 Augsburg 17 4 6 7 -6 18
14 M'gladbach 17 4 5 8 -10 17
15 Werder Bremen 17 4 4 9 -15 16
16 Hamburg 17 3 4 10 -18 13
17 FC Ingolstadt 04 17 3 3 11 -14 12
18 Darmstadt 17 2 3 12 -19 9

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Wolfsburg Augsburg
1–0 M. Gómez
Y. Mallı
4′
9′
🟨 Philipp Max
25′
Halil Altıntop 1–1
40′
🔁 D. Kohr
↦ J. Morávek
Half-time 1–1
62′
🔁 G. Teigl
↦ T. Usami
Vieirinha 🟨
68′
69′
D. Kohr 1–2
R. Framberger
J. Błaszczykowski 🔁
↦ Y. Mallı
72′
Borja Mayoral 🔁
↦ Vieirinha
72′
M. Arnold 🔁
↦ J. Guilavogui
80′
83′
🟨 Ja-Cheol Koo
88′
🔁 G. Kačar
↦ R. Bobadilla
Luiz Gustavo 🟨
89′
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Wolfsburg

4-2-3-1
1 D. Benaglio
34 R. Rodríguez D
5 J. Bruma D
22 Luiz Gustavo M
8 Vieirinha M
23 J. Guilavogui M
10 Y. Mallı M
30 P. Seguin D
13 Y. Gerhardt M
33 M. Gómez F
9 P. Ntep M
Bench (7)
14 J. Błaszczykowski
17 Borja Mayoral
27 M. Arnold
6 R. Bazoer
21 J. Horn
28 K. Casteels
31 R. Knoche

Coach: V. Ismaël

Augsburg

4-1-4-1
35 M. Hitz G
36 M. Hinteregger D
6 J. Gouweleeuw D
31 P. Max D
32 R. Framberger D
7 Halil Altıntop M
39 T. Usami M
14 J. Morávek M
19 Ja-Cheol Koo M
25 R. Bobadilla F
22 Dong-Won Ji M
Bench (6)
21 D. Kohr
28 G. Teigl
20 G. Kačar
1 A. Luthe
16 C. Janker
40 T. Rieder

Coach: M. Baum

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Bastian Dankert · 75 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,8 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
21,5 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,15 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.