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Bundesliga
Referee: Peter Sippel
Wolfsburg
T S S S T
6–0
Full-time
Werder Bremen
T T S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Wolfsburg Werder Bremen
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,7
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
33%
67%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,7
2,7
Scored
1,3
1,0
Conceded
1,3
1,7
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-0,7
This season — Bundesliga · 12/12 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,8
1,1
Over 2.5 Ø 55%
42%
67%
Both score Ø 54%
50%
58%
Average goals
2,7
2,7
Scored
1,4
1,1
Conceded
1,3
1,6
Goal diff per game
+0,2
-0,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

64% Possession 36%
21 Shots 9
12 Shots on target 2
3 Blocked shots 4
2 Goalkeeper saves 7
7 Corners 3
2 Offside 1
0 Free kicks against 0
0 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Wolfsburg 3. · Werder Bremen 14.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Bayern Munich 12 11 1 0 +33 34
2 Dortmund 13 9 2 2 +18 29
3 Wolfsburg 12 6 3 3 +2 21
4 Hertha 12 6 2 4 +2 20
5 Schalke 04 12 6 2 4 +0 20
6 M'gladbach 12 6 1 5 +5 19
7 FC Koln 12 5 3 4 -3 18
8 Hamburg 13 5 3 5 -3 18
9 Leverkusen 12 5 2 5 -2 17
10 Mainz 12 5 1 6 -1 16
11 FC Ingolstadt 04 12 4 4 4 -2 16
12 Ein Frankfurt 12 3 5 4 -1 14
13 Darmstadt 12 3 5 4 -3 14
14 Werder Bremen 12 4 1 7 -6 13
15 Hannover 12 3 2 7 -10 11
16 Stuttgart 12 3 1 8 -10 10
17 Hoffenheim 12 1 5 6 -7 8
18 Augsburg 12 1 3 8 -12 6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Wolfsburg Werder Bremen
0–1 Gálvez
own goal
11′
26′
🟨 Alejandro Gálvez
J. Guilavogui 🔁
↦ Luiz Gustavo
34′
43′
🟨 Clemens Fritz
1–1 M. Kruse
Vieirinha
44′
Half-time 1–1
46′
🔁 C. Pizarro
↦ Z. Junuzović
2–1 Vieirinha
M. Schäfer
56′
A. Schürrle 🔁
↦ Vieirinha
65′
67′
🔁 J. Sternberg
↦ S. García
3–1 J. Guilavogui
A. Schürrle
67′
70′
🔁 F. Kroos
↦ L. Zander
I. Azzaoui 🔁
↦ D. Caligiuri
76′
4–1 B. Dost
M. Kruse
78′
5–1 M. Kruse
A. Schürrle
87′
Full-time 5–1

Line-ups

Wolfsburg

1 D. Benaglio
25 Naldo D
4 M. Schäfer
15 C. Träsch M
18 Dante D
22 Luiz Gustavo M
8 Vieirinha M
7 D. Caligiuri M
27 M. Arnold M
11 M. Kruse F
12 B. Dost F
Bench (7)
23 J. Guilavogui
17 A. Schürrle
38 I. Azzaoui
3 N. Bendtner
5 T. Klose
24 S. Jung
28 K. Casteels

Werder Bremen

42 F. Wiedwald G
2 S. García D
7 J. Vestergaard D
4 Gálvez D
19 L. Zander D
8 C. Fritz M
16 Z. Junuzović M
22 F. Bartels F
44 P. Bargfrede M
21 A. Ujah F
27 F. Grillitsch M
Bench (7)
14 C. Pizarro
37 J. Sternberg
18 F. Kroos
5 A. Lukimya
11 L. Öztunali
26 J. von Haacke
30 M. Zetterer

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Peter Sippel · 12 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
2,9 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
2,1 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,25 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.