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Bundesliga

Referee: Benjamin Brand

Stuttgart

T T T T T

1–0

Full-time

Mainz

T U S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Stuttgart Mainz

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 9%

17%

Points per game

0,0

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

67%

50%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

3,7

2,7

Scored

0,7

1,2

Conceded

3,0

1,5

Goal diff per game

-2,3

-0,3

This season — Bundesliga · 1/1 matches

Win Ø 0%

Points per game

0,0

Over 2.5 Ø 0%

Both score Ø 0%

Average goals

2,0

1,0

Scored

0,0

Conceded

2,0

1,0

Goal diff per game

-2,0

-1,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

52% Possession 48%

17 Shots 13

4 Shots on target 6

3 Blocked shots 1

6 Goalkeeper saves 3

5 Corners 6

1 Offside 2

12 Free kicks against 18

2 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Stuttgart 15. · Mainz 11. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Hamburg	2	2	0	0	+3	6
2	Dortmund	1	1	0	0	+3	3
3	Bayern Munich	1	1	0	0	+2	3
4	Hertha	1	1	0	0	+2	3
5	Schalke 04	1	1	0	0	+2	3
6	Hannover	1	1	0	0	+1	3
7	M'gladbach	1	1	0	0	+1	3
8	Hoffenheim	1	1	0	0	+1	3
9	Freiburg	1	0	1	0	+0	1
10	Ein Frankfurt	1	0	1	0	+0	1
11	Mainz	1	0	0	1	-1	0
12	Werder Bremen	1	0	0	1	-1	0
13	Augsburg	1	0	0	1	-1	0
14	Leverkusen	1	0	0	1	-2	0
15	Stuttgart	1	0	0	1	-2	0
16	RB Leipzig	1	0	0	1	-2	0
17	FC Koln	2	0	0	2	-3	0
18	Wolfsburg	1	0	0	1	-3	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bayern Munich	1	1	0	0	+2	3
2	Hertha	1	1	0	0	+2	3
3	Schalke 04	1	1	0	0	+2	3
4	M'gladbach	1	1	0	0	+1	3
5	Hoffenheim	1	1	0	0	+1	3
6	Hamburg	1	1	0	0	+1	3
7	Freiburg	1	0	1	0	+0	1
8	Mainz	1	0	0	1	-1	0
9	FC Koln	1	0	0	1	-2	0
10	Wolfsburg	1	0	0	1	-3	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Dortmund	1	1	0	0	+3	3
2	Hamburg	1	1	0	0	+2	3
3	Hannover	1	1	0	0	+1	3
4	Ein Frankfurt	1	0	1	0	+0	1
5	FC Koln	1	0	0	1	-1	0
6	Werder Bremen	1	0	0	1	-1	0
7	Augsburg	1	0	0	1	-1	0
8	Leverkusen	1	0	0	1	-2	0
9	Stuttgart	1	0	0	1	-2	0
10	RB Leipzig	1	0	0	1	-2	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.