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Bundesliga
Referee: Deniz Aytekin
M'gladbach
T S U U U
1–0
Full-time
FC Koln
U U S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

M'gladbach FC Koln
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
17%
33%
Points per game
1,0
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 84%
100%
67%
Average goals
4,0
3,0
Scored
1,8
1,7
Conceded
2,2
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

52% Possession 48%
22 Shots 13
8 Shots on target 2
6 Blocked shots 4
2 Goalkeeper saves 7
5 Corners 3
4 Offside 3
12 Free kicks against 11
3 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Dortmund 1 1 0 0 +3 3
2 Bayern Munich 1 1 0 0 +2 3
3 Hertha 1 1 0 0 +2 3
4 Schalke 04 1 1 0 0 +2 3
5 Hannover 1 1 0 0 +1 3
6 Hoffenheim 1 1 0 0 +1 3
7 Hamburg 1 1 0 0 +1 3
8 Freiburg 1 0 1 0 +0 1
9 Ein Frankfurt 1 0 1 0 +0 1
10 Mainz 1 0 0 1 -1 0
11 Werder Bremen 1 0 0 1 -1 0
12 Augsburg 1 0 0 1 -1 0
13 Leverkusen 1 0 0 1 -2 0
14 Stuttgart 1 0 0 1 -2 0
15 RB Leipzig 1 0 0 1 -2 0
16 Wolfsburg 1 0 0 1 -3 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

M'gladbach FC Koln
Denis Zakaria 🟨
23′
Half-time 0–0
48′
🔁 J. Horn
↦ K. Rausch
1–0 N. Elvedi
49′
55′
🟨 Dominique Heintz
59′
🔁 S. Guirassy
↦ M. Risse
72′
🟨 Frederik Sørensen
75′
🔁 S. Zoller
↦ L. Bittencourt
P. Herrmann 🔁
↦ T. Hazard
81′
J. Hofmann 🔁
↦ I. Traoré
84′
R. Bobadilla 🔁
↦ Raffael
88′
Lars Stindl 🟨
90′
Yann Sommer 🟨
90′
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

M'gladbach

4-4-2
1 Y. Sommer G
17 O. Wendt D
4 J. Vestergaard D
28 M. Ginter D
30 N. Elvedi D
16 I. Traoré M
6 C. Kramer M
8 D. Zakaria M
11 Raffael F
13 L. Stindl F
10 T. Hazard M
Bench (7)
7 P. Herrmann
23 J. Hofmann
26 R. Bobadilla
3 R. Oxford
21 T. Sippel
22 L. Bénes
27 M. Cuisance

Coach: D. Hecking

FC Koln

4-2-3-1
1 T. Horn G
34 K. Rausch D
14 J. Hector M
4 F. Sørensen D
3 D. Heintz D
24 L. Klünter D
33 M. Lehmann M
7 M. Risse M
8 M. Jojić M
21 L. Bittencourt M
15 J. Córdoba F
Bench (7)
23 J. Horn
19 S. Guirassy
11 S. Zoller
5 D. Maroh
6 M. Höger
9 A. Rudņevs
35 S. Müller

Coach: P. Stöger

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Deniz Aytekin · 80 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,1 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
20,9 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,21 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.