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Bundesliga
Referee: Sascha Stegemann
Augsburg
S U U U T
2–2
Full-time
M'gladbach
S U U U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Augsburg M'gladbach
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
17%
33%
Points per game
1,0
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
33%
50%
Both score Ø 67%
50%
83%
Average goals
2,2
2,8
Scored
1,2
1,5
Conceded
1,0
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+0,2
This season — Bundesliga · 1/1 matches
Win Ø 50%
0%
100%
Points per game
0,0
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 0%
0%
0%
Both score Ø 0%
0%
0%
Average goals
1,0
1,0
Scored
0,0
1,0
Conceded
1,0
0,0
Goal diff per game
-1,0
+1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–2

50% Possession 50%
24 Shots 16
9 Shots on target 3
7 Blocked shots 7
1 Goalkeeper saves 7
10 Corners 0
1 Offside 1
13 Free kicks against 12
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Augsburg 13. · M'gladbach 7.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Hamburg 2 2 0 0 +3 6
2 Dortmund 1 1 0 0 +3 3
3 Bayern Munich 1 1 0 0 +2 3
4 Hertha 1 1 0 0 +2 3
5 Schalke 04 1 1 0 0 +2 3
6 Hannover 1 1 0 0 +1 3
7 M'gladbach 1 1 0 0 +1 3
8 Hoffenheim 1 1 0 0 +1 3
9 Freiburg 1 0 1 0 +0 1
10 Ein Frankfurt 1 0 1 0 +0 1
11 Mainz 1 0 0 1 -1 0
12 Werder Bremen 1 0 0 1 -1 0
13 Augsburg 1 0 0 1 -1 0
14 Leverkusen 1 0 0 1 -2 0
15 Stuttgart 1 0 0 1 -2 0
16 RB Leipzig 1 0 0 1 -2 0
17 FC Koln 2 0 0 2 -3 0
18 Wolfsburg 1 0 0 1 -3 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Augsburg M'gladbach
1–0 A. Finnbogason
M. Gregoritsch
1′
7′
D. Zakaria 1–1
L. Stindl
Daniel Baier 🟨
18′
30′
O. Wendt 1–2
37′
🟨 Denis Zakaria
42′
🟨 Jannik Vestergaard
Jeffrey Gouweleeuw 🟨
45′
Half-time 1–2
63′
🔁 L. Bénes
↦ D. Zakaria
65′
🔁 J. Hofmann
↦ P. Herrmann
M. Heller 🔁
↦ J. Schmid
76′
R. Khedira 🔁
↦ Ja-Cheol Koo
76′
S. Córdova 🔁
↦ Ja-Cheol Koo
76′
80′
🔁 F. Johnson
↦ Raffael
2–2 S. Córdova
M. Heller
89′
Full-time 2–2

Line-ups

Augsburg

4-1-4-1
35 M. Hitz G
36 M. Hinteregger D
6 J. Gouweleeuw D
31 P. Max D
32 R. Framberger D
10 D. Baier M
30 Caiuby M
17 J. Schmid M
19 Ja-Cheol Koo M
27 A. Finnbogason F
11 M. Gregoritsch M
Bench (7)
7 M. Heller
8 R. Khedira
21 S. Córdova
1 A. Luthe
4 D. Opare
20 G. Kačar
22 Dong-Won Ji

Coach: M. Baum

M'gladbach

4-4-2
1 Y. Sommer G
17 O. Wendt D
4 J. Vestergaard D
28 M. Ginter D
30 N. Elvedi D
7 P. Herrmann M
6 C. Kramer M
8 D. Zakaria M
11 Raffael F
13 L. Stindl F
10 T. Hazard M
Bench (7)
22 L. Bénes
23 J. Hofmann
19 F. Johnson
3 R. Oxford
16 I. Traoré
21 T. Sippel
27 M. Cuisance

Coach: D. Hecking

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Sascha Stegemann · 85 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,5 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
20,9 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,16 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.