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Bundesliga
Referee: Manuel Gräfe
Wolfsburg
T U T S U
0–2
Full-time
Bayern Munich
S S U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Wolfsburg Bayern Munich
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
17%
83%
Points per game
0,8
2,7
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
3,0
2,3
Scored
1,2
1,8
Conceded
1,8
0,5
Goal diff per game
-0,7
+1,3
This season — Bundesliga · 22/22 matches
Win Ø 61%
36%
86%
Points per game
1,4
2,7
Over 2.5 Ø 57%
45%
68%
Both score Ø 48%
55%
41%
Average goals
2,8
3,0
Scored
1,5
2,5
Conceded
1,3
0,5
Goal diff per game
+0,1
+2,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

32% Possession 68%
12 Shots 14
8 Shots on target 5
1 Blocked shots 4
2 Goalkeeper saves 8
1 Corners 7
2 Offside 5
0 Free kicks against 0
0 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Wolfsburg 8. · Bayern Munich 1.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Bayern Munich 22 19 2 1 +45 59
2 Dortmund 22 16 3 3 +30 51
3 Hertha 23 11 6 6 +7 39
4 Leverkusen 22 10 5 7 +8 35
5 M'gladbach 22 11 2 9 +5 35
6 Schalke 04 22 10 4 8 +2 34
7 Mainz 22 10 3 9 +1 33
8 Wolfsburg 22 8 7 7 +3 31
9 FC Koln 23 7 8 8 -5 29
10 FC Ingolstadt 04 22 8 5 9 -7 29
11 Stuttgart 22 8 4 10 -8 28
12 Hamburg 22 7 6 9 -5 27
13 Augsburg 22 6 6 10 -7 24
14 Darmstadt 22 6 6 10 -11 24
15 Ein Frankfurt 22 5 7 10 -10 22
16 Werder Bremen 22 5 5 12 -19 20
17 Hoffenheim 22 3 9 10 -11 18
18 Hannover 22 4 2 16 -18 14

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Wolfsburg Bayern Munich
Half-time 0–0
50′
🔁 Thiago Alcântara
↦ Douglas Costa
56′
🔁 F. Ribéry
↦ A. Robben
66′
K. Coman 0–1
A. Schürrle 🔁
↦ C. Träsch
72′
74′
R. Lewandowski 0–2
F. Ribéry
R. Knoche 🔁
↦ Naldo
76′
78′
🟨 Juan Bernat
I. Azzaoui 🔁
↦ M. Schäfer
84′
88′
🔁 S. Rode
↦ K. Coman
Full-time 0–2

Line-ups

Wolfsburg

28 K. Casteels G
25 Naldo D
4 M. Schäfer
15 C. Träsch M
18 Dante D
34 R. Rodriguez D
22 Luiz Gustavo M
8 Vieirinha M
27 M. Arnold M
10 J. Draxler M
11 M. Kruse F
Bench (6)
17 A. Schürrle
31 R. Knoche
38 I. Azzaoui
20 M. Grün
32 L. Putaro
33 S. Stolze

Bayern Munich

1 M. Neuer G
21 P. Lahm D
27 D. Alaba D
10 A. Robben M
14 Xabi Alonso M
11 Douglas Costa M
18 Juan Bernat D
32 J. Kimmich D
25 T. Müller M
9 R. Lewandowski F
29 K. Coman M
Bench (7)
6 Thiago Alcântara
7 F. Ribéry
20 S. Rode
5 M. Benatia
19 M. Götze
23 A. Vidal
26 S. Ulreich

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Manuel Gräfe · 72 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,0 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
16,2 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,08 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.