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Premier League

Referee: A Taylor

Leeds

S S S S T

4–3

Full-time

Fulham

U S T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Leeds Fulham

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 67%

83%

50%

Points per game

2,5

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

67%

Both score Ø 50%

33%

67%

Average goals

3,7

3,5

Scored

2,8

1,8

Conceded

0,8

1,7

Goal diff per game

+2,0

+0,2

This season — Premier League · 1/1 matches

Win Ø 0%

Points per game

0,0

Over 2.5 Ø 100%

100%

Both score Ø 50%

100%

Average goals

7,0

3,0

Scored

3,0

0,0

Conceded

4,0

3,0

Goal diff per game

-1,0

-3,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–1

50% Possession 50%

10 Shots 14

7 Shots on target 6

1 Blocked shots 3

3 Goalkeeper saves 3

5 Corners 3

3 Offside 0

13 Free kicks against 18

1 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Leeds 9. · Fulham 15. ▾

#	Team	K	V	T	+/−	P
1	Everton	2	2	0	+4	6
2	Arsenal	1	1	0	+3	3
3	Leicester	1	1	0	+3	3
4	Chelsea	1	1	0	+2	3
5	Newcastle	1	1	0	+2	3
6	Wolves	1	1	0	+2	3
7	Liverpool	1	1	0	+1	3
8	Crystal Palace	1	1	0	+1	3
9	Leeds	1	0	1	-1	0
10	Southampton	1	0	1	-1	0
11	Tottenham	1	0	1	-1	0
12	Brighton	1	0	1	-2	0
13	West Ham	1	0	1	-2	0
14	Sheffield United	1	0	1	-2	0
15	Fulham	1	0	1	-3	0
16	West Brom	2	0	2	-6	0

#	Team	K	V	T	+/−	P
1	Everton	1	1	0	+3	3
2	Liverpool	1	1	0	+1	3
3	Crystal Palace	1	1	0	+1	3
4	Tottenham	1	0	1	-1	0
5	Brighton	1	0	1	-2	0
6	West Ham	1	0	1	-2	0
7	Sheffield United	1	0	1	-2	0
8	Fulham	1	0	1	-3	0
9	West Brom	1	0	1	-3	0

#	Team	K	V	T	+/−	P
1	Arsenal	1	1	0	+3	3
2	Leicester	1	1	0	+3	3
3	Chelsea	1	1	0	+2	3
4	Newcastle	1	1	0	+2	3
5	Wolves	1	1	0	+2	3
6	Everton	1	1	0	+1	3
7	Leeds	1	0	1	-1	0
8	Southampton	1	0	1	-1	0
9	West Brom	1	0	1	-3	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.