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Bundesliga

Referee: Bastian Dankert

Wolfsburg

U S S U T

5–2

Full-time

Fortuna Dusseldorf

S T S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Wolfsburg Fortuna Dusseldorf

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

50%

Points per game

1,8

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

67%

Both score Ø 33%

33%

Average goals

3,5

2,8

Scored

1,8

1,7

Conceded

1,7

1,2

Goal diff per game

+0,2

+0,5

This season — Bundesliga · 25/25 matches

Win Ø 40%

44%

36%

Points per game

1,6

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 68%

68%

Both score Ø 50%

52%

48%

Average goals

3,0

Scored

1,6

1,2

Conceded

1,5

1,8

Goal diff per game

+0,1

-0,6

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

59% Possession 41%

18 Shots 18

10 Shots on target 6

5 Blocked shots 3

4 Goalkeeper saves 4

7 Corners 5

3 Offside 1

16 Free kicks against 9

1 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Wolfsburg 7. · Fortuna Dusseldorf 12. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bayern Munich	25	18	3	4	+35	57
2	Dortmund	25	17	6	2	+33	57
3	M'gladbach	26	14	5	7	+14	47
4	RB Leipzig	25	13	7	5	+23	46
5	Ein Frankfurt	25	12	7	6	+20	43
6	Leverkusen	25	13	3	9	+9	42
7	Wolfsburg	25	11	6	8	+2	39
8	Hoffenheim	25	9	10	6	+12	37
9	Werder Bremen	25	9	9	7	+6	36
10	Hertha	25	9	8	8	+2	35
11	Freiburg	26	7	10	9	-5	31
12	Fortuna Dusseldorf	25	9	4	12	-14	31
13	Mainz	25	8	6	11	-12	30
14	Schalke 04	25	6	5	14	-16	23
15	Augsburg	25	5	7	13	-12	22
16	Stuttgart	25	5	4	16	-30	19
17	Hannover	25	3	5	17	-35	14
18	Nurnberg	25	2	7	16	-32	13

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Dortmund	13	11	2	0	+25	35
2	M'gladbach	13	9	1	3	+12	28
3	Bayern Munich	12	8	3	1	+17	27
4	RB Leipzig	13	7	5	1	+17	26
5	Leverkusen	12	7	1	4	+4	22
6	Ein Frankfurt	12	6	3	3	+11	21
7	Hoffenheim	13	5	5	3	+7	20
8	Werder Bremen	13	5	5	3	+5	20
9	Freiburg	13	5	5	3	+5	20
10	Hertha	12	5	5	2	+3	20
11	Mainz	13	5	4	4	+0	19
12	Fortuna Dusseldorf	13	6	0	7	-4	18
13	Wolfsburg	12	4	4	4	-1	16
14	Stuttgart	12	4	2	6	-8	14
15	Augsburg	12	3	4	5	+1	13
16	Schalke 04	12	4	1	7	-7	13
17	Nurnberg	13	2	5	6	-5	11
18	Hannover	13	3	1	9	-13	10

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bayern Munich	13	10	0	3	+18	30
2	Wolfsburg	13	7	2	4	+3	23
3	Ein Frankfurt	13	6	4	3	+9	22
4	Dortmund	12	6	4	2	+8	22
5	RB Leipzig	12	6	2	4	+6	20
6	Leverkusen	13	6	2	5	+5	20
7	M'gladbach	13	5	4	4	+2	19
8	Hoffenheim	12	4	5	3	+5	17
9	Werder Bremen	12	4	4	4	+1	16
10	Hertha	13	4	3	6	-1	15
11	Fortuna Dusseldorf	12	3	4	5	-10	13
12	Freiburg	13	2	5	6	-10	11
13	Mainz	12	3	2	7	-12	11
14	Schalke 04	13	2	4	7	-9	10
15	Augsburg	13	2	3	8	-13	9
16	Stuttgart	13	1	2	10	-22	5
17	Hannover	12	0	4	8	-22	4
18	Nurnberg	12	0	2	10	-27	2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.