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Eredivisie

Referee: Christaan Bax

Heerenveen

U U S S S

0–3

Full-time

De Graafschap

T T S U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Heerenveen De Graafschap

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

50%

33%

Points per game

2,0

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

83%

67%

Both score Ø 67%

100%

33%

Average goals

4,5

3,0

Scored

2,7

1,5

Conceded

1,8

1,5

Goal diff per game

+0,8

+0,0

This season — Eredivisie · 25/25 matches

Win Ø 28%

32%

24%

Points per game

1,3

0,9

Over 2.5 Ø 68%

72%

64%

Both score Ø 60%

80%

40%

Average goals

4,5

3,3

Scored

2,2

1,1

Conceded

2,2

Goal diff per game

+0,0

-1,1

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

54% Possession 46%

9 Shots 7

4 Shots on target 4

1 Blocked shots 1

1 Goalkeeper saves 4

4 Corners 3

2 Offside 1

12 Free kicks against 13

2 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Heerenveen 7. · De Graafschap 17. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	PSV Eindhoven	25	20	4	1	+62	64
2	Ajax	25	20	2	3	+67	62
3	Feyenoord	25	14	5	6	+23	47
4	AZ Alkmaar	25	13	5	7	+21	44
5	Heracles	23	11	3	9	+1	36
6	Vitesse	22	9	7	6	+8	34
7	Heerenveen	25	8	9	8	+0	33
8	VVV Venlo	25	9	5	11	-11	32
9	Utrecht	22	8	7	7	+2	31
10	Willem II	25	9	4	12	-8	31
11	Groningen	23	8	5	10	-1	29
12	For Sittard	26	8	5	13	-18	29
13	Den Haag	25	7	7	11	-16	28
14	Zwolle	25	7	5	13	-13	26
15	Excelsior	25	7	5	13	-25	26
16	FC Emmen	26	6	7	13	-30	25
17	De Graafschap	25	6	4	15	-27	22
18	NAC Breda	25	4	5	16	-35	17

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	PSV Eindhoven	13	12	1	0	+42	37
2	Ajax	13	11	2	0	+46	35
3	Feyenoord	12	11	0	1	+25	33
4	AZ Alkmaar	12	7	3	2	+17	24
5	Heracles	11	8	0	3	+13	24
6	Vitesse	11	6	4	1	+7	22
7	VVV Venlo	12	6	3	3	+7	21
8	For Sittard	13	6	3	4	+6	21
9	Utrecht	12	5	4	3	+8	19
10	Excelsior	13	5	3	5	-8	18
11	De Graafschap	13	5	2	6	+0	17
12	Groningen	11	5	1	5	+4	16
13	NAC Breda	12	4	3	5	-4	15
14	Den Haag	13	4	3	6	-10	15
15	Willem II	12	4	2	6	-3	14
16	Zwolle	13	3	3	7	-7	12
17	Heerenveen	12	2	5	5	-7	11
18	FC Emmen	13	2	5	6	-10	11

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ajax	12	9	0	3	+21	27
2	PSV Eindhoven	12	8	3	1	+20	27
3	Heerenveen	13	6	4	3	+7	22
4	AZ Alkmaar	13	6	2	5	+4	20
5	Willem II	13	5	2	6	-5	17
6	Feyenoord	13	3	5	5	-2	14
7	Zwolle	12	4	2	6	-6	14
8	FC Emmen	13	4	2	7	-20	14
9	Groningen	12	3	4	5	-5	13
10	Den Haag	12	3	4	5	-6	13
11	Vitesse	11	3	3	5	+1	12
12	Utrecht	10	3	3	4	-6	12
13	Heracles	12	3	3	6	-12	12
14	VVV Venlo	13	3	2	8	-18	11
15	Excelsior	12	2	2	8	-17	8
16	For Sittard	13	2	2	9	-24	8
17	De Graafschap	12	1	2	9	-27	5
18	NAC Breda	13	0	2	11	-31	2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.