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Bundesliga

Referee: Bibiana Steinhaus

Werder Bremen

U S S S U

2–1

Full-time

Freiburg

T S U U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Werder Bremen Freiburg

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

50%

33%

Points per game

2,0

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

50%

Both score Ø 84%

100%

67%

Average goals

3,3

Scored

2,2

1,5

Conceded

1,2

1,8

Goal diff per game

+1,0

-0,3

This season — Bundesliga · 28/28 matches

Win Ø 32%

39%

25%

Points per game

1,5

1,1

Over 2.5 Ø 54%

57%

50%

Both score Ø 75%

86%

64%

Average goals

3,2

3,1

Scored

1,8

1,4

Conceded

1,4

1,7

Goal diff per game

+0,4

-0,4

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

62% Possession 38%

16 Shots 9

7 Shots on target 5

1 Blocked shots 1

4 Goalkeeper saves 4

7 Corners 3

0 Offside 2

19 Free kicks against 7

1 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Werder Bremen 8. · Freiburg 13. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bayern Munich	28	20	4	4	+46	64
2	Dortmund	28	19	6	3	+31	63
3	RB Leipzig	28	16	7	5	+31	55
4	Ein Frankfurt	28	15	7	6	+25	52
5	M'gladbach	28	14	6	8	+12	48
6	Wolfsburg	28	13	6	9	+5	45
7	Hoffenheim	28	11	11	6	+19	44
8	Werder Bremen	28	11	10	7	+10	43
9	Leverkusen	28	13	3	12	+2	42
10	Fortuna Dusseldorf	28	11	4	13	-14	37
11	Hertha	28	9	8	11	-5	35
12	Mainz	28	9	6	13	-15	33
13	Freiburg	28	7	11	10	-10	32
14	Schalke 04	29	7	6	16	-17	27
15	Augsburg	28	6	7	15	-17	25
16	Stuttgart	28	5	6	17	-33	21
17	Nurnberg	29	3	9	17	-30	18
18	Hannover	28	3	5	20	-40	14

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Dortmund	14	12	2	0	+27	38
2	Bayern Munich	14	10	3	1	+28	33
3	RB Leipzig	14	8	5	1	+22	29
4	M'gladbach	14	9	2	3	+12	29
5	Ein Frankfurt	14	8	3	3	+15	27
6	Hoffenheim	14	6	5	3	+10	23
7	Werder Bremen	14	6	5	3	+7	23
8	Mainz	14	6	4	4	+5	22
9	Wolfsburg	14	6	4	4	+4	22
10	Leverkusen	14	7	1	6	+0	22
11	Freiburg	14	5	6	3	+5	21
12	Fortuna Dusseldorf	14	7	0	7	-2	21
13	Hertha	14	5	5	4	+1	20
14	Augsburg	14	4	4	6	-1	16
15	Stuttgart	14	4	4	6	-8	16
16	Nurnberg	15	3	6	6	-2	15
17	Schalke 04	14	4	1	9	-9	13
18	Hannover	14	3	1	10	-14	10

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bayern Munich	14	10	1	3	+18	31
2	RB Leipzig	14	8	2	4	+9	26
3	Ein Frankfurt	14	7	4	3	+10	25
4	Dortmund	14	7	4	3	+4	25
5	Wolfsburg	14	7	2	5	+1	23
6	Hoffenheim	14	5	6	3	+9	21
7	Werder Bremen	14	5	5	4	+3	20
8	Leverkusen	14	6	2	6	+2	20
9	M'gladbach	14	5	4	5	+0	19
10	Fortuna Dusseldorf	14	4	4	6	-12	16
11	Hertha	14	4	3	7	-6	15
12	Schalke 04	15	3	5	7	-8	14
13	Freiburg	14	2	5	7	-15	11
14	Mainz	14	3	2	9	-20	11
15	Augsburg	14	2	3	9	-16	9
16	Stuttgart	14	1	2	11	-25	5
17	Hannover	14	0	4	10	-26	4
18	Nurnberg	14	0	3	11	-28	3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.