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Eredivisie
Referee: Jochem Kamphuis
Feyenoord
U T T S S
2–1
Full-time
Heracles
U S S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Feyenoord Heracles
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
50%
67%
Points per game
1,7
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
83%
50%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
3,7
3,2
Scored
2,5
1,8
Conceded
1,2
1,3
Goal diff per game
+1,3
+0,5
This season — Eredivisie · 29/27 matches
Win Ø 54%
55%
52%
Points per game
1,8
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
66%
67%
Both score Ø 52%
55%
48%
Average goals
3,4
3,6
Scored
2,2
1,9
Conceded
1,2
1,7
Goal diff per game
+0,9
+0,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

55% Possession 45%
22 Shots 14
12 Shots on target 3
2 Blocked shots 5
2 Goalkeeper saves 9
10 Corners 3
1 Offside 2
9 Free kicks against 16
1 Yellow cards 2
1 Red cards 0
The table before the match Feyenoord 3. · Heracles 5.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Ajax 30 24 2 4 +78 74
2 PSV Eindhoven 29 22 5 2 +65 71
3 Feyenoord 29 16 5 8 +27 53
4 AZ Alkmaar 30 15 7 8 +22 52
5 Heracles 27 14 3 10 +3 45
6 Utrecht 26 11 7 8 +6 40
7 Willem II 29 12 4 13 -8 40
8 Groningen 27 11 5 11 +1 38
9 Vitesse 26 9 10 7 +7 37
10 Heerenveen 29 9 9 11 -7 36
11 Den Haag 30 9 9 12 -11 36
12 Zwolle 29 10 5 14 -7 35
13 VVV Venlo 29 9 6 14 -19 33
14 For Sittard 29 8 6 15 -24 30
15 FC Emmen 30 7 8 15 -34 29
16 De Graafschap 29 7 5 17 -26 26
17 Excelsior 30 7 5 18 -34 26
18 NAC Breda 30 5 7 18 -39 22

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Feyenoord Heracles
1–0 S. Berghuis
N. Jørgensen
33′
Half-time 1–1
47′
Jesper Drost 1–1
K. Peterson
B. Nieuwkoop 🔁
↦ R. Martina
57′
58′
🔁 Adrián Dalmau
↦ K. Peterson
Nicolai Jørgensen 🟥
65′
76′
🔁 S. van der Water
↦ B. Kuwas
R. van Persie 🔁
↦ J. Clasie
77′
2–1 S. Berghuis
82′
86′
🟨 Tim Breukers
89′
🟨 Adrian Dalmau
Tyrell Malacia 🟨
90′
91′
🔁 J. Konings
↦ M. Rossmann
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Feyenoord

4-3-3
1 K. Vermeer G
33 Eric Botteghin D
24 R. Martina D
3 S. van Beek D
15 T. Malacia D
28 J. Toornstra M
8 J. Clasie M
10 T. Vilhena M
9 N. Jørgensen F
19 S. Berghuis F
11 S. Larsson F
Bench (8)
2 B. Nieuwkoop
32 R. van Persie
17 L. Sinisterra
13 J. Delle
23 O. Kökçü
18 Y. Ayoub
29 C. Verdonk
6 J. van der Heijden

Coach: G. van Bronckhorst

Heracles

4-2-3-1
1 J. Blaswich G
2 T. Breukers D
5 B. van Hintum D
23 M. Rossmann D
3 L. Czyborra D
18 Jesper Drost M
52 A. Merkel M
14 Mohammed Osman M
7 K. Peterson F
17 B. Kuwas F
24 D. dos Santos F
Bench (9)
9 Adrián Dalmau
11 S. van der Water
25 J. Konings
6 D. Van den Buijs
12 W. Droste
26 K. Bucker
34 J. Hardeveld
13 M. Knoester
16 M. Brouwer

Coach: F. Wormuth

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Jochem Kamphuis · 95 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,3 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
20,4 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,16 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.