Eredivisie
Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Feyenoord
Heracles
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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Half-time score: 1–0
| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Ajax
|
30 | 24 | 2 | 4 | +78 | 74 |
| 2 |
PSV Eindhoven
|
29 | 22 | 5 | 2 | +65 | 71 |
| 3 |
Feyenoord
|
29 | 16 | 5 | 8 | +27 | 53 |
| 4 |
AZ Alkmaar
|
30 | 15 | 7 | 8 | +22 | 52 |
| 5 |
Heracles
|
27 | 14 | 3 | 10 | +3 | 45 |
| 6 |
Utrecht
|
26 | 11 | 7 | 8 | +6 | 40 |
| 7 |
Willem II
|
29 | 12 | 4 | 13 | -8 | 40 |
| 8 |
Groningen
|
27 | 11 | 5 | 11 | +1 | 38 |
| 9 |
Vitesse
|
26 | 9 | 10 | 7 | +7 | 37 |
| 10 |
Heerenveen
|
29 | 9 | 9 | 11 | -7 | 36 |
| 11 |
Den Haag
|
30 | 9 | 9 | 12 | -11 | 36 |
| 12 |
Zwolle
|
29 | 10 | 5 | 14 | -7 | 35 |
| 13 |
VVV Venlo
|
29 | 9 | 6 | 14 | -19 | 33 |
| 14 |
For Sittard
|
29 | 8 | 6 | 15 | -24 | 30 |
| 15 |
FC Emmen
|
30 | 7 | 8 | 15 | -34 | 29 |
| 16 |
De Graafschap
|
29 | 7 | 5 | 17 | -26 | 26 |
| 17 |
Excelsior
|
30 | 7 | 5 | 18 | -34 | 26 |
| 18 |
NAC Breda
|
30 | 5 | 7 | 18 | -39 | 22 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
J. Toornstra
M
J. Clasie
M
T. Vilhena
M
S. Berghuis
F
S. Larsson
F
Coach: G. van Bronckhorst
J. Blaswich
G
K. Peterson
F
Coach: F. Wormuth
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
VVV Venlo
Feyenoord
Feyenoord
Heerenveen
Utrecht
Feyenoord
Feyenoord
Willem II
Vitesse
Feyenoord
Jochem Kamphuis · 95 kamper i vår database
🟥 Red cards: 0,16 per match
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.