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La Liga
Referee: Alejandro Hernandez
Sevilla
S S T S S
3–2
Full-time
Betis
S T U T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sevilla Betis
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
67%
33%
Points per game
2,0
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
33%
67%
Both score Ø 58%
33%
83%
Average goals
2,7
2,8
Scored
1,8
1,2
Conceded
0,8
1,7
Goal diff per game
+1,0
-0,5
This season — La Liga · 31/31 matches
Win Ø 42%
45%
39%
Points per game
1,6
1,4
Over 2.5 Ø 45%
45%
45%
Both score Ø 48%
48%
48%
Average goals
2,8
2,5
Scored
1,6
1,2
Conceded
1,2
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,5
-0,1
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

38% Possession 62%
11 Shots 12
5 Shots on target 7
2 Blocked shots 2
4 Goalkeeper saves 2
5 Corners 4
4 Offside 5
18 Free kicks against 8
6 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Sevilla 5. · Betis 9.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Barcelona 32 22 8 2 +50 74
2 Ath Madrid 32 19 8 5 +26 65
3 Real Madrid 31 19 3 9 +18 60
4 Getafe 31 13 11 7 +11 50
5 Sevilla 31 14 7 10 +14 49
6 Valencia 31 10 16 5 +7 46
7 Alaves 32 12 9 11 -7 45
8 Ath Bilbao 31 10 13 8 -2 43
9 Betis 31 12 7 12 -4 43
10 Espanol 32 11 8 13 -9 41
11 Sociedad 31 10 10 11 -1 40
12 Leganes 31 10 10 11 -4 40
13 Eibar 31 9 12 10 -2 39
14 Girona 31 8 10 13 -10 34
15 Levante 31 8 9 14 -12 33
16 Celta 32 8 8 16 -10 32
17 Villarreal 31 6 12 13 -6 30
18 Valladolid 31 7 9 15 -19 30
19 Vallecano 31 7 6 18 -20 27
20 Huesca 32 5 10 17 -20 25

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Sevilla Betis
1–0 Munir
Pablo Sarabia
26′
39′
🟨 Jesé Rodríguez
Half-time 1–1
55′
G. Lo Celso 1–1
Junior Firpo
2–1 Pablo Sarabia
W. Ben Yedder
59′
3–1 F. Vázquez
É. Banega
63′
Sergio Escudero 🟨
65′
68′
🔁 Joaquín
↦ Emerson
Q. Promes 🔁
↦ Munir
69′
Aleix Vidal 🔁
↦ F. Vázquez
69′
Éver Banega 🟨
70′
Jesús Navas 🟨
73′
M. Rog 🔁
↦ É. Banega
74′
74′
🔁 Loren Morón
↦ Jesé
77′
🔁 Cristian Tello
↦ Sidnei
Daniel Carriço 🟨
81′
82′
Cristian Tello 3–2
83′
🟨 Aïssa Mandi
Gabriel Mercado 🟨
86′
Marko Rog 🟨
90′
90′
🟨 Cristian Tello
Full-time 3–2

Line-ups

Sevilla

4-4-2
1 T. Vaclík G
25 G. Mercado D
6 Daniel Carriço D
18 Sergio Escudero D
16 Jesús Navas M
10 É. Banega M
22 F. Vázquez M
17 Pablo Sarabia M
7 Roque Mesa M
9 W. Ben Yedder F
19 Munir F
Bench (7)
21 Q. Promes
11 Aleix Vidal
20 M. Rog
41 Bryan Gil
3 Sergi Gómez
4 S. Kjær
13 Juan Soriano

Coach: Joaquín Caparrós

Betis

3-1-4-2
13 Pau López G
12 Sidnei D
23 A. Mandi D
4 Z. Feddal D
20 Junior Firpo M
24 Emerson D
18 A. Guardado M
6 Canales M
14 William Carvalho M
21 G. Lo Celso M
10 Jesé F
Bench (7)
17 Joaquín
16 Loren Morón
11 Cristian Tello
3 Javi García
7 Sergio León
5 Bartra
1 Joel Robles

Coach: Quique Setién

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Alejandro Hernandez · 223 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,6 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
23,8 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,27 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.