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La Liga

Referee: Javier Estrada Fernandez

Las Palmas

T S T T T

0–0

Full-time

Villarreal

S S S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Las Palmas Villarreal

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

17%

67%

Points per game

0,7

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

50%

Both score Ø 42%

33%

50%

Average goals

3,0

2,3

Scored

1,0

1,5

Conceded

2,0

0,8

Goal diff per game

-1,0

+0,7

This season — La Liga · 8/8 matches

Win Ø 38%

13%

63%

Points per game

0,6

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 44%

38%

50%

Both score Ø 44%

25%

63%

Average goals

2,4

2,5

Scored

0,8

1,6

Conceded

1,6

0,9

Goal diff per game

-0,9

+0,8

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

60% Possession 40%

6 Shots 5

2 Shots on target 0

3 Blocked shots 2

0 Goalkeeper saves 2

6 Corners 6

1 Offside 4

0 Free kicks against 0

1 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Las Palmas 20. · Villarreal 5. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Real Madrid	9	6	3	0	+18	21
2	Celta	9	5	3	1	+7	18
3	Barcelona	8	6	0	2	+6	18
4	Ath Madrid	8	5	1	2	+8	16
5	Villarreal	8	5	1	2	+6	16
6	Eibar	8	3	4	1	+4	13
7	La Coruna	9	3	4	2	+3	13
8	Valencia	8	3	3	2	+2	12
9	Sevilla	9	3	3	3	+1	12
10	Betis	9	3	3	3	-4	12
11	Espanol	9	4	0	5	-10	12
12	Getafe	9	3	1	5	-3	10
13	Vallecano	9	3	1	5	-6	10
14	Sociedad	9	2	3	4	+1	9
15	Sp Gijon	8	2	3	3	-1	9
16	Malaga	9	2	3	4	-2	9
17	Ath Bilbao	8	2	2	4	-2	8
18	Granada	9	1	3	5	-8	6
19	Levante	9	1	3	5	-13	6
20	Las Palmas	8	1	2	5	-7	5

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Barcelona	4	4	0	0	+8	12
2	Real Madrid	4	3	1	0	+9	10
3	Getafe	4	3	0	1	+7	9
4	Villarreal	4	3	0	1	+4	9
5	Sevilla	5	3	0	2	+3	9
6	Celta	5	2	2	1	+4	8
7	Valencia	4	2	2	0	+4	8
8	Malaga	5	2	2	1	+3	8
9	Ath Madrid	4	2	1	1	+2	7
10	Vallecano	5	2	1	2	+0	7
11	Ath Bilbao	4	2	0	2	+2	6
12	Espanol	4	2	0	2	-5	6
13	La Coruna	4	1	2	1	+2	5
14	Eibar	4	1	2	1	+0	5
15	Levante	5	1	2	2	-4	5
16	Las Palmas	4	1	1	2	-1	4
17	Betis	4	1	1	2	-2	4
18	Sp Gijon	4	0	2	2	-2	2
19	Sociedad	4	0	2	2	-3	2
20	Granada	5	0	2	3	-7	2

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Real Madrid	5	3	2	0	+9	11
2	Celta	4	3	1	0	+3	10
3	Ath Madrid	4	3	0	1	+6	9
4	Eibar	4	2	2	0	+4	8
5	La Coruna	5	2	2	1	+1	8
6	Betis	5	2	2	1	-2	8
7	Sociedad	5	2	1	2	+4	7
8	Villarreal	4	2	1	1	+2	7
9	Sp Gijon	4	2	1	1	+1	7
10	Barcelona	4	2	0	2	-2	6
11	Espanol	5	2	0	3	-5	6
12	Granada	4	1	1	2	-1	4
13	Valencia	4	1	1	2	-2	4
14	Sevilla	4	0	3	1	-2	3
15	Vallecano	4	1	0	3	-6	3
16	Ath Bilbao	4	0	2	2	-4	2
17	Malaga	4	0	1	3	-5	1
18	Las Palmas	4	0	1	3	-6	1
19	Levante	4	0	1	3	-9	1
20	Getafe	5	0	1	4	-10	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.