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La Liga
Referee: Carlos Clos Gomez
Barcelona
S T S S S
3–0
Full-time
Villarreal
S T T U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Barcelona Villarreal
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
67%
50%
Points per game
2,0
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 58%
83%
33%
Both score Ø 58%
83%
33%
Average goals
4,0
1,5
Scored
2,3
0,8
Conceded
1,7
0,7
Goal diff per game
+0,7
+0,2
This season — La Liga · 10/10 matches
Win Ø 70%
80%
60%
Points per game
2,4
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 60%
70%
50%
Both score Ø 65%
70%
60%
Average goals
3,4
2,3
Scored
2,2
1,5
Conceded
1,2
0,8
Goal diff per game
+1,0
+0,7
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

64% Possession 36%
20 Shots 5
9 Shots on target 2
3 Blocked shots 1
2 Goalkeeper saves 6
7 Corners 2
2 Offside 3
0 Free kicks against 0
5 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Barcelona 2. · Villarreal 5.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Real Madrid 10 7 3 0 +20 24
2 Barcelona 10 8 0 2 +10 24
3 Celta 11 6 3 2 +4 21
4 Ath Madrid 10 6 2 2 +9 20
5 Villarreal 10 6 2 2 +7 20
6 Eibar 11 5 4 2 +5 19
7 Valencia 11 5 3 3 +8 18
8 Ath Bilbao 11 5 2 4 +4 17
9 La Coruna 11 3 6 2 +3 15
10 Betis 11 4 3 4 -5 15
11 Vallecano 11 4 1 6 -6 13
12 Espanol 11 4 1 6 -11 13
13 Sevilla 10 3 3 4 +0 12
14 Sp Gijon 10 3 3 4 -3 12
15 Getafe 11 3 1 7 -7 10
16 Sociedad 11 2 3 6 -2 9
17 Malaga 11 2 3 6 -4 9
18 Las Palmas 11 2 3 6 -7 9
19 Granada 11 1 4 6 -9 7
20 Levante 11 1 4 6 -16 7

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Barcelona Villarreal
Jérémy Mathieu 🟨
27′
Andrés Iniesta 🟨
37′
39′
🟨 Mario Gaspar
Half-time 0–0
Luis Suárez 🟨
47′
Neymar 🟨
47′
1–0 Neymar
Busquets
60′
Gerard Piqué 🟨
64′
66′
🔁 C. Bakambu
↦ Tomás Pina
70′
🟨 Jaume Costa
2–0 L. Suárez
70′
72′
🟨 Daniele Bonera
Sandro Ramírez 🔁
↦ Munir
79′
79′
🔁 Samu
↦ Samu Castillejo
Bartra 🔁
↦ Piqué
82′
3–0 Neymar
L. Suárez
85′
Full-time 3–0

Line-ups

Barcelona

13 C. Bravo G
24 J. Mathieu D
6 Dani Alves D
3 Piqué D
18 Jordi Alba D
8 Iniesta M
5 Busquets M
20 Sergi Roberto D
9 L. Suárez F
11 Neymar F
17 Munir F
Bench (7)
19 Sandro Ramírez
15 Bartra
1 M. ter Stegen
21 Adriano Correia
23 T. Vermaelen
26 Sergi Samper
28 Gerard Gumbau

Villarreal

13 A. Areola G
23 D. Bonera D
2 Mario Gaspar D
11 Jaume Costa D
6 Víctor Ruíz D
21 Bruno M
8 J. dos Santos M
4 Tomás Pina M
18 Denis Suárez M
19 Samu Castillejo M
9 Soldado F
Bench (7)
17 C. Bakambu
7 Samu
3 B. Jokić
14 Trigueros
22 A. Rukavina
25 M. Barbosa
26 N. Leiva

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Carlos Clos Gomez · 41 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,6 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
16,2 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,20 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.