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La Liga

Referee: Alejandro Hernandez

Vallecano

T S T S U

0–3

Full-time

Ath Bilbao

U S S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Vallecano Ath Bilbao

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

33%

67%

Points per game

1,2

2,2

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

50%

83%

Both score Ø 59%

50%

67%

Average goals

3,0

3,3

Scored

1,3

2,2

Conceded

1,7

1,2

Goal diff per game

-0,3

+1,0

This season — La Liga · 12/12 matches

Win Ø 38%

33%

42%

Points per game

1,2

1,4

Over 2.5 Ø 63%

58%

67%

Both score Ø 54%

50%

58%

Average goals

2,8

Scored

1,2

1,5

Conceded

1,7

1,3

Goal diff per game

-0,5

+0,2

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

66% Possession 34%

15 Shots 10

3 Shots on target 4

4 Blocked shots 1

1 Goalkeeper saves 3

6 Corners 2

3 Offside 5

0 Free kicks against 0

4 Yellow cards 0

0 Red cards 1

The table before the match Vallecano 14. · Ath Bilbao 10. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Barcelona	13	11	0	2	+21	33
2	Ath Madrid	13	9	2	2	+12	29
3	Real Madrid	13	8	3	2	+17	27
4	Celta	13	7	3	3	+3	24
5	La Coruna	13	5	6	2	+7	21
6	Villarreal	13	6	3	4	+2	21
7	Eibar	13	5	5	3	+3	20
8	Valencia	12	5	4	3	+8	19
9	Betis	13	5	3	5	-5	18
10	Ath Bilbao	12	5	2	5	+2	17
11	Espanol	13	5	1	7	-10	16
12	Sevilla	12	4	3	5	-1	15
13	Getafe	13	4	2	7	-5	14
14	Vallecano	12	4	2	6	-6	14
15	Sociedad	13	3	3	7	-4	12
16	Sp Gijon	13	3	3	7	-8	12
17	Granada	13	2	5	6	-7	11
18	Malaga	13	2	4	7	-6	10
19	Las Palmas	13	2	4	7	-9	10
20	Levante	13	2	4	7	-14	10

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Barcelona	7	7	0	0	+17	21
2	Ath Madrid	7	5	1	1	+5	16
3	Real Madrid	6	4	1	1	+7	13
4	Getafe	7	4	1	2	+7	13
5	Villarreal	6	4	1	1	+5	13
6	Valencia	6	3	3	0	+7	12
7	Ath Bilbao	6	4	0	2	+6	12
8	Sevilla	6	4	0	2	+4	12
9	Celta	7	3	2	2	+1	11
10	Eibar	7	3	2	2	+1	11
11	Vallecano	6	3	1	2	+1	10
12	Espanol	6	3	1	2	-3	10
13	La Coruna	6	2	3	1	+4	9
14	Malaga	7	2	3	2	+2	9
15	Las Palmas	7	2	2	3	-1	8
16	Levante	7	1	3	3	-5	6
17	Sociedad	6	1	2	3	-2	5
18	Sp Gijon	6	1	2	3	-4	5
19	Granada	6	1	2	3	-5	5
20	Betis	6	1	1	4	-5	4

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Real Madrid	7	4	2	1	+10	14
2	Betis	7	4	2	1	+0	14
3	Ath Madrid	6	4	1	1	+7	13
4	Celta	6	4	1	1	+2	13
5	Barcelona	6	4	0	2	+4	12
6	La Coruna	7	3	3	1	+3	12
7	Eibar	6	2	3	1	+2	9
8	Villarreal	7	2	2	3	-3	8
9	Valencia	6	2	1	3	+1	7
10	Sociedad	7	2	1	4	-2	7
11	Sp Gijon	7	2	1	4	-4	7
12	Granada	7	1	3	3	-2	6
13	Espanol	7	2	0	5	-7	6
14	Ath Bilbao	6	1	2	3	-4	5
15	Vallecano	6	1	1	4	-7	4
16	Levante	6	1	1	4	-9	4
17	Sevilla	6	0	3	3	-5	3
18	Las Palmas	6	0	2	4	-8	2
19	Malaga	6	0	1	5	-8	1
20	Getafe	6	0	1	5	-12	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.