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La Liga

Referee: David Fernandez Borbalan

Celta

S T T S U

1–0

Full-time

Espanol

U T S T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Celta Espanol

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

33%

17%

Points per game

1,2

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

67%

33%

Both score Ø 67%

83%

50%

Average goals

3,7

2,2

Scored

1,3

0,8

Conceded

2,3

1,3

Goal diff per game

-1,0

-0,5

This season — La Liga · 14/14 matches

Win Ø 43%

50%

36%

Points per game

1,8

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 64%

71%

57%

Both score Ø 65%

79%

50%

Average goals

3,4

2,9

Scored

1,8

1,1

Conceded

1,6

1,8

Goal diff per game

+0,2

-0,7

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

51% Possession 49%

16 Shots 6

3 Shots on target 2

3 Blocked shots 1

2 Goalkeeper saves 2

4 Corners 9

6 Offside 2

0 Free kicks against 0

5 Yellow cards 2

1 Red cards 0

The table before the match Celta 4. · Espanol 12. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Barcelona	15	11	2	2	+21	35
2	Ath Madrid	14	10	2	2	+14	32
3	Real Madrid	14	9	3	2	+20	30
4	Celta	14	7	4	3	+3	25
5	Villarreal	14	7	3	4	+3	24
6	La Coruna	15	5	8	2	+7	23
7	Ath Bilbao	14	6	3	5	+5	21
8	Valencia	14	5	5	4	+7	20
9	Eibar	14	5	5	4	+2	20
10	Sevilla	14	5	4	5	+0	19
11	Betis	14	5	4	5	-5	19
12	Espanol	14	5	2	7	-10	17
13	Sociedad	15	4	4	7	-3	16
14	Sp Gijon	14	4	3	7	-6	15
15	Getafe	15	4	3	8	-8	15
16	Vallecano	14	4	2	8	-10	14
17	Malaga	14	2	5	7	-6	11
18	Granada	14	2	5	7	-9	11
19	Levante	14	2	5	7	-14	11
20	Las Palmas	14	2	4	8	-11	10

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Barcelona	8	7	1	0	+17	22
2	Real Madrid	7	5	1	1	+10	16
3	Villarreal	7	5	1	1	+6	16
4	Ath Madrid	7	5	1	1	+5	16
5	Sevilla	7	5	0	2	+5	15
6	Getafe	8	4	2	2	+7	14
7	Valencia	7	3	4	0	+7	13
8	Ath Bilbao	7	4	1	2	+6	13
9	Celta	7	3	2	2	+1	11
10	Eibar	7	3	2	2	+1	11
11	Espanol	7	3	2	2	-3	11
12	La Coruna	7	2	4	1	+4	10
13	Vallecano	7	3	1	3	-2	10
14	Malaga	7	2	3	2	+2	9
15	Sociedad	7	2	2	3	-1	8
16	Las Palmas	7	2	2	3	-1	8
17	Sp Gijon	7	2	2	3	-2	8
18	Levante	7	1	3	3	-5	6
19	Betis	7	1	2	4	-5	5
20	Granada	7	1	2	4	-7	5

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ath Madrid	7	5	1	1	+9	16
2	Real Madrid	7	4	2	1	+10	14
3	Celta	7	4	2	1	+2	14
4	Betis	7	4	2	1	+0	14
5	Barcelona	7	4	1	2	+4	13
6	La Coruna	8	3	4	1	+3	13
7	Eibar	7	2	3	2	+1	9
8	Ath Bilbao	7	2	2	3	-1	8
9	Sociedad	8	2	2	4	-2	8
10	Villarreal	7	2	2	3	-3	8
11	Valencia	7	2	1	4	+0	7
12	Sp Gijon	7	2	1	4	-4	7
13	Granada	7	1	3	3	-2	6
14	Espanol	7	2	0	5	-7	6
15	Levante	7	1	2	4	-9	5
16	Sevilla	7	0	4	3	-5	4
17	Vallecano	7	1	1	5	-8	4
18	Malaga	7	0	2	5	-8	2
19	Las Palmas	7	0	2	5	-10	2
20	Getafe	7	0	1	6	-15	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.