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La Liga
Referee: Carlos Del Cerro Grande
Celta
S S T T T
4–3
Full-time
Levante
T T T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Celta Levante
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
33%
17%
Points per game
1,2
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 17%
0%
33%
Both score Ø 34%
17%
50%
Average goals
1,7
2,0
Scored
0,7
0,7
Conceded
1,0
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,3
-0,7
This season — La Liga · 19/19 matches
Win Ø 32%
47%
16%
Points per game
1,6
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 53%
53%
53%
Both score Ø 50%
58%
42%
Average goals
2,9
2,4
Scored
1,5
0,7
Conceded
1,4
1,7
Goal diff per game
+0,1
-0,9
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

57% Possession 43%
14 Shots 17
6 Shots on target 7
5 Blocked shots 3
4 Goalkeeper saves 2
6 Corners 2
5 Offside 1
0 Free kicks against 0
1 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Celta 6. · Levante 20.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Ath Madrid 19 14 2 3 +19 44
2 Barcelona 18 13 3 2 +29 42
3 Real Madrid 19 12 4 3 +34 40
4 Villarreal 19 12 3 4 +10 39
5 Sevilla 20 9 5 6 +6 32
6 Celta 19 9 4 6 +1 31
7 Eibar 19 8 6 5 +7 30
8 Ath Bilbao 19 8 4 7 +5 28
9 La Coruna 19 6 9 4 +3 27
10 Malaga 20 6 6 8 -2 24
11 Valencia 19 5 8 6 +4 23
12 Getafe 19 6 5 8 -6 23
13 Espanol 19 6 3 10 -13 21
14 Sociedad 19 5 5 9 -5 20
15 Betis 19 5 5 9 -15 20
16 Las Palmas 19 4 6 9 -8 18
17 Granada 19 4 5 10 -16 17
18 Sp Gijon 18 4 3 11 -13 15
19 Vallecano 19 4 3 12 -22 15
20 Levante 19 3 5 11 -18 14

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

23. Aug -15 Levante – Celta 1–2

Match report

Celta Levante
31′
🟨 Toño
Theo Bongonda 🟨
32′
1–0 J. Guidetti
Iago Aspas
35′
40′
🟨 Simao Mate
2–0 J. Guidetti
D. Wass
40′
Half-time 2–0
56′
🔁 Rubén García
↦ M. Cuero
3–0 Iago Aspas
P. Hernández
57′
Josep Señé 🔁
↦ J. Guidetti
62′
63′
Deyverson 3–1
Víctor Camarasa
65′
Pedro López 3–2
José Luis Morales
66′
🔁 Roger Martí
↦ Simão Junior
67′
🟨 Víctor Camarasa
N. Radoja 🔁
↦ T. Bongonda
70′
82′
🔁 N. Ghilas
↦ David Navarro
4–2 F. Orellana
Iago Aspas
84′
Sergi Gómez 🔁
↦ P. Hernández
86′
89′
José Luis Morales 4–3
Full-time 4–3

Line-ups

Celta

1 Sergio Álvarez G
22 G. Cabral D
2 Hugo Mallo D
21 Planas D
19 Jonny Castro D
14 F. Orellana M
18 D. Wass M
8 P. Hernández M
9 Iago Aspas F
11 J. Guidetti F
7 T. Bongonda M
Bench (7)
23 Josep Señé
6 N. Radoja
20 Sergi Gómez
13 Rubén Blanco
16 D. Dražić
17 L. Madinda
31 Borja Iglesias

Levante

25 Diego Mariño G
4 David Navarro
19 Pedro López D
3 Toño M
24 Z. Feddal D
5 Simão Junior
11 José Luis Morales M
6 Víctor Camarasa M
8 J. Lerma M
9 M. Cuero F
20 Deyverson F
Bench (7)
10 Rubén García
14 Roger Martí
23 N. Ghilas
2 Iván López
13 Rubén
16 Ángel Trujillo
17 Xumetra

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Carlos Del Cerro Grande · 78 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,0 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
20,7 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,21 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.