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La Liga
Referee: Antonio Mateu
Betis
U T S U U
2–2
Full-time
Vallecano
S U S U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Betis Vallecano
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
17%
33%
Points per game
1,2
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 58%
33%
83%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
2,0
3,5
Scored
1,0
2,2
Conceded
1,0
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+0,8
This season — La Liga · 25/25 matches
Win Ø 24%
24%
24%
Points per game
1,1
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 54%
36%
72%
Both score Ø 52%
44%
60%
Average goals
2,1
3,4
Scored
0,8
1,4
Conceded
1,4
2,0
Goal diff per game
-0,6
-0,7
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

39% Possession 61%
20 Shots 11
4 Shots on target 4
9 Blocked shots 2
2 Goalkeeper saves 2
8 Corners 8
2 Offside 3
0 Free kicks against 0
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Betis 14. · Vallecano 16.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Barcelona 25 20 3 2 +47 63
2 Ath Madrid 26 18 4 4 +25 58
3 Real Madrid 26 16 6 4 +46 54
4 Villarreal 25 14 7 4 +12 49
5 Sevilla 25 11 8 6 +10 41
6 Celta 26 12 5 9 -5 41
7 Eibar 26 10 6 10 +5 36
8 Ath Bilbao 25 10 5 10 +0 35
9 Sociedad 25 9 6 10 +1 33
10 La Coruna 25 6 14 5 +2 32
11 Valencia 25 7 10 8 +4 31
12 Malaga 25 8 7 10 +0 31
13 Espanol 26 8 4 14 -24 28
14 Betis 25 6 9 10 -15 27
15 Getafe 26 7 5 14 -14 26
16 Vallecano 25 6 7 12 -17 25
17 Las Palmas 26 6 6 14 -15 24
18 Sp Gijon 26 6 6 14 -16 24
19 Levante 25 5 5 15 -21 20
20 Granada 25 5 5 15 -25 20

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

4. Oct -15 Vallecano – Betis 0–2

Match report

Betis Vallecano
1–0 Rubén Castro
Molinero
14′
2–0 Rubén Castro
Jorge Molina
28′
Half-time 2–0
46′
🔁 Manucho Gonçalves
↦ N. Fedor
46′
🔁 Jonatan Caballero
↦ Zé Castro
48′
Manucho Gonçalves 2–1
Roberto Trashorras
51′
Manucho Gonçalves 2–2
Leandro Damião 🔁
↦ Jorge Molina
56′
Dani Ceballos 🟨
62′
62′
🟨 Roberto Trashorras
Cejudo 🔁
↦ Joaquín
63′
71′
🟨 Diego Llorente
73′
🔁 Antonio Amaya
↦ Adri Embarba
76′
🟨 Quini
Fabián Ruiz 🔁
↦ Molinero
82′
Petros 🟨
90′
Full-time 2–2

Line-ups

Betis

13 Adán G
2 Molinero
4 Bruno González D
20 G. Pezzella D
7 Joaquín M
11 J. Vargas D
25 Petros M
8 C. Musonda M
10 Dani Ceballos M
24 Rubén Castro F
19 Jorge Molina F
Bench (7)
12 Leandro Damião
16 Cejudo
52 Fabián Ruiz
1 Dani Giménez
9 R. van Wolfswinkel
15 D. Digard
22 Portillo

Vallecano

13 Juan Carlos G
18 Zé Castro D
2 Tito D
27 Diego Llorente D
6 M. Iturra M
10 Roberto Trashorras M
12 Piti F
17 Quini D
11 Adri Embarba M
7 N. Fedor F
23 Bebé F
Bench (7)
9 Manucho Gonçalves
26 Jonatan Caballero
4 Antonio Amaya
3 Nacho Martínez
8 Raúl Baena
16 A. Özbiliz
25 Yoel

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Antonio Mateu · 160 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,9 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
23,6 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,17 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.