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Eredivisie

Referee: Richard Liesveld

Vitesse

U U T S U

0–1

Full-time

Willem II

U U U U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Vitesse Willem II

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 9%

17%

Points per game

1,0

0,7

Over 2.5 Ø 33%

33%

Both score Ø 42%

33%

50%

Average goals

1,8

1,5

Scored

1,0

0,5

Conceded

0,8

1,0

Goal diff per game

+0,2

-0,5

This season — Eredivisie · 24/24 matches

Win Ø 30%

42%

17%

Points per game

1,5

0,9

Over 2.5 Ø 52%

50%

54%

Both score Ø 50%

42%

58%

Average goals

2,7

2,5

Scored

1,8

1,1

Conceded

0,9

1,3

Goal diff per game

+0,9

-0,2

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

63% Possession 37%

12 Shots 10

3 Shots on target 3

3 Blocked shots 3

2 Goalkeeper saves 3

2 Corners 4

1 Offside 1

0 Free kicks against 0

2 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Vitesse 4. · Willem II 15. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	PSV Eindhoven	25	19	5	1	+40	62
2	Ajax	24	18	4	2	+41	58
3	AZ Alkmaar	24	12	4	8	+10	40
4	Vitesse	24	10	7	7	+21	37
5	Feyenoord	24	11	4	9	+9	37
6	Nijmegen	25	10	6	9	-1	36
7	Zwolle	23	10	5	8	+6	35
8	Heracles	22	10	5	7	+1	35
9	Groningen	24	9	7	8	-5	34
10	Twente	25	9	4	12	-13	31
11	Den Haag	25	7	9	9	-3	30
12	Heerenveen	24	8	6	10	-11	30
13	Utrecht	21	8	5	8	+1	29
14	Roda	24	5	10	9	-16	25
15	Willem II	24	4	10	10	-5	22
16	Excelsior	25	5	7	13	-19	22
17	Cambuur	25	3	7	15	-33	16
18	De Graafschap	24	3	5	16	-23	14

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	PSV Eindhoven	12	10	2	0	+19	32
2	Ajax	12	10	1	1	+27	31
3	Nijmegen	13	8	2	3	+6	26
4	Groningen	12	7	3	2	+8	24
5	Vitesse	12	7	2	3	+17	23
6	Feyenoord	12	7	2	3	+11	23
7	AZ Alkmaar	13	7	2	4	+7	23
8	Heracles	11	7	2	2	+7	23
9	Twente	12	7	1	4	+4	22
10	Zwolle	11	6	2	3	+3	20
11	Heerenveen	12	5	4	3	+1	19
12	Utrecht	9	5	3	1	+5	18
13	Willem II	12	3	6	3	+3	15
14	Roda	13	3	6	4	-4	15
15	Den Haag	12	2	7	3	-2	13
16	Excelsior	13	3	3	7	-9	12
17	Cambuur	13	2	4	7	-16	10
18	De Graafschap	12	2	3	7	-8	9

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	PSV Eindhoven	13	9	3	1	+21	30
2	Ajax	12	8	3	1	+14	27
3	AZ Alkmaar	11	5	2	4	+3	17
4	Den Haag	13	5	2	6	-1	17
5	Zwolle	12	4	3	5	+3	15
6	Vitesse	12	3	5	4	+4	14
7	Feyenoord	12	4	2	6	-2	14
8	Heracles	11	3	3	5	-6	12
9	Utrecht	12	3	2	7	-4	11
10	Heerenveen	12	3	2	7	-12	11
11	Nijmegen	12	2	4	6	-7	10
12	Excelsior	12	2	4	6	-10	10
13	Roda	11	2	4	5	-12	10
14	Groningen	12	2	4	6	-13	10
15	Twente	13	2	3	8	-17	9
16	Willem II	12	1	4	7	-8	7
17	Cambuur	12	1	3	8	-17	6
18	De Graafschap	12	1	2	9	-15	5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.