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Serie A
Referee: Celi Domenico
Milan
S S U S U
1–0
Full-time
Torino
U U T S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Milan Torino
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
50%
17%
Points per game
2,0
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
2,7
2,2
Scored
1,8
1,0
Conceded
0,8
1,2
Goal diff per game
+1,0
-0,2
This season — Serie A · 26/26 matches
Win Ø 39%
46%
31%
Points per game
1,7
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 46%
42%
50%
Both score Ø 56%
54%
58%
Average goals
2,5
2,5
Scored
1,5
1,3
Conceded
1,1
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,4
+0,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

53% Possession 47%
19 Shots 11
3 Shots on target 4
5 Blocked shots 3
4 Goalkeeper saves 2
5 Corners 6
1 Offside 2
0 Free kicks against 0
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Milan 6. · Torino 11.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Juventus 26 18 4 4 +31 58
2 Napoli 26 17 6 3 +33 57
3 Roma 27 15 8 4 +27 53
4 Fiorentina 26 16 4 6 +21 52
5 Inter 26 14 6 6 +11 48
6 Milan 26 12 8 6 +10 44
7 Sassuolo 26 9 11 6 +1 38
8 Lazio 26 10 7 9 +0 37
9 Bologna 26 10 4 12 -2 34
10 Empoli 27 9 7 11 -7 34
11 Torino 26 8 8 10 +0 32
12 Chievo 26 8 7 11 -5 31
13 Atalanta 26 7 8 11 -5 29
14 Genoa 26 7 7 12 -4 28
15 Udinese 26 7 6 13 -18 27
16 Palermo 26 7 5 14 -20 26
17 Sampdoria 26 6 7 13 -9 25
18 Frosinone 26 6 5 15 -25 23
19 Carpi 26 4 8 14 -20 20
20 Verona 26 2 12 12 -19 18

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

17. Oct -15 Torino – Milan 1–1

Match report

Milan Torino
43′
🟨 Kamil Glik
1–0 L. Antonelli
J. Kucka
44′
Half-time 1–0
Ignazio Abate 🟨
69′
K. Boateng 🔁
↦ M. Niang
69′
78′
🔁 M. López
↦ D. Baselli
Kevin-Prince Boateng 🟨
80′
86′
🔁 J. Martínez
↦ D. Zappacosta
M. Balotelli 🔁
↦ C. Bacca
90′
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Milan

99 G. Donnarumma G
33 Alex D
17 C. Zapata D
20 I. Abate D
31 L. Antonelli D
28 G. Bonaventura M
27 J. Kucka M
91 A. Bertolacci M
10 K. Honda M
70 C. Bacca F
19 M. Niang F
Bench (12)
72 K. Boateng
45 M. Balotelli
2 M. De Sciglio
4 J. Mauri
7 J. Ménez
13 A. Romagnoli
16 A. Poli
25 S. Simič
32 C. Abbiati
73 M. Locatelli
96 D. Calabria
97 A. Livieri

Torino

1 D. Padelli G
24 E. Moretti D
25 K. Glik D
19 N. Maksimović D
33 Bruno Peres D
7 D. Zappacosta M
20 G. Vives M
6 A. Acquah M
16 D. Baselli M
10 C. Immobile F
9 A. Belotti F
Bench (9)
11 M. López
17 J. Martínez
3 C. Molinaro
4 J. Obi
8 A. Farnerud
13 L. Castellazzi
18 P. Jansson
21 G. Silva
28 S. Ichazo

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Celi Domenico · 33 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,7 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
10,9 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,30 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.