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Eredivisie
Referee: Dennis Higler
PSV Eindhoven
S S S S S
2–0
Full-time
Den Haag
T S U S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

PSV Eindhoven Den Haag
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 75%
100%
50%
Points per game
3,0
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
3,8
3,5
Scored
3,0
1,8
Conceded
0,8
1,7
Goal diff per game
+2,2
+0,2
This season — Eredivisie · 24/24 matches
Win Ø 52%
75%
29%
Points per game
2,5
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 61%
67%
54%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
3,6
3,0
Scored
2,6
1,5
Conceded
1,0
1,5
Goal diff per game
+1,6
+0,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

62% Possession 38%
20 Shots 7
6 Shots on target 2
6 Blocked shots 1
2 Goalkeeper saves 4
9 Corners 3
0 Offside 1
0 Free kicks against 0
2 Yellow cards 5
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match PSV Eindhoven 1. · Den Haag 11.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 PSV Eindhoven 24 18 5 1 +38 59
2 Ajax 24 18 4 2 +41 58
3 AZ Alkmaar 24 12 4 8 +10 40
4 Vitesse 24 10 7 7 +21 37
5 Feyenoord 24 11 4 9 +9 37
6 Nijmegen 25 10 6 9 -1 36
7 Zwolle 22 10 5 7 +7 35
8 Heracles 22 10 5 7 +1 35
9 Groningen 24 9 7 8 -5 34
10 Twente 25 9 4 12 -13 31
11 Den Haag 24 7 9 8 -1 30
12 Heerenveen 24 8 6 10 -11 30
13 Utrecht 21 8 5 8 +1 29
14 Roda 24 5 10 9 -16 25
15 Willem II 24 4 10 10 -5 22
16 Excelsior 25 5 7 13 -19 22
17 De Graafschap 24 3 5 16 -23 14
18 Cambuur 24 2 7 15 -34 13

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

PSV Eindhoven Den Haag
6′
🟨 Dion Malone
Santiago Arias 🟨
42′
Half-time 0–0
52′
🟨 Kyle Ebecilio
54′
🟨 Timothy Derijck
64′
🔁 R. Schaken
↦ K. Ebecilio
Jetro Willems 🟨
65′
M. Lestienne 🔁
↦ G. Pereiro
70′
J. Brenet 🔁
↦ J. Willems
70′
71′
🟨 Tyronne Ebuehi
1–0 M. van Ginkel
J. Locadia
72′
75′
🔁 G. Zuiverloon
↦ V. Wormgoor
81′
🟨 Danny Bakker
2–0 L. de Jong
A. Guardado
82′
83′
🔁 L. Marengo
↦ T. Derijck
N. Isimat-Mirin 🔁
↦ J. Locadia
85′
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

PSV Eindhoven

1 J. Zoet G
3 H. Moreno D
4 S. Arias D
5 J. Bruma D
15 J. Willems M
18 A. Guardado M
6 D. Pröpper M
28 M. van Ginkel M
9 L. de Jong F
19 J. Locadia F
7 G. Pereiro M
Bench (7)
16 M. Lestienne
20 J. Brenet
2 N. Isimat-Mirin
8 S. Schaars
11 L. Narsingh
22 R. Pasveer
29 J. Hendrix

Den Haag

1 M. Hansen G
4 T. Derijck D
3 V. Wormgoor D
2 D. Malone M
25 T. Beugelsdijk D
28 T. Ebuehi D
7 K. Jansen M
15 K. Ebecilio M
17 D. Bakker M
9 M. Havenaar F
21 E. Duplan F
Bench (7)
20 R. Schaken
51 G. Zuiverloon
11 L. Marengo
6 T. Kristensen
22 R. Zwinkels
30 S. Owobowale
31 H. Hevel

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Dennis Higler · 127 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,2 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
19,7 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,17 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.