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Bundesliga

Referee: Marco Fritz

Hamburg

T T U S U

1–1

Full-time

FC Ingolstadt 04

S T S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Hamburg FC Ingolstadt 04

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

17%

50%

Points per game

0,8

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 34%

50%

17%

Both score Ø 42%

67%

17%

Average goals

2,3

1,8

Scored

1,0

0,8

Conceded

1,3

1,0

Goal diff per game

-0,3

-0,2

This season — Bundesliga · 22/22 matches

Win Ø 34%

32%

36%

Points per game

1,2

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 37%

55%

18%

Both score Ø 39%

55%

23%

Average goals

2,5

1,8

Scored

1,1

0,7

Conceded

1,4

1,0

Goal diff per game

-0,2

-0,3

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

49% Possession 51%

7 Shots 12

2 Shots on target 3

2 Blocked shots 3

2 Goalkeeper saves 1

2 Corners 5

2 Offside 2

0 Free kicks against 0

3 Yellow cards 5

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Hamburg 12. · FC Ingolstadt 04 10. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bayern Munich	22	19	2	1	+45	59
2	Dortmund	22	16	3	3	+30	51
3	Hertha	23	11	6	6	+7	39
4	Leverkusen	22	10	5	7	+8	35
5	M'gladbach	22	11	2	9	+5	35
6	Schalke 04	22	10	4	8	+2	34
7	Mainz	22	10	3	9	+1	33
8	Wolfsburg	22	8	7	7	+3	31
9	FC Koln	23	7	8	8	-5	29
10	FC Ingolstadt 04	22	8	5	9	-7	29
11	Stuttgart	22	8	4	10	-8	28
12	Hamburg	22	7	6	9	-5	27
13	Augsburg	22	6	6	10	-7	24
14	Darmstadt	22	6	6	10	-11	24
15	Ein Frankfurt	22	5	7	10	-10	22
16	Werder Bremen	22	5	5	12	-19	20
17	Hoffenheim	22	3	9	10	-11	18
18	Hannover	22	4	2	16	-18	14

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bayern Munich	11	11	0	0	+33	33
2	Dortmund	10	9	1	0	+23	28
3	M'gladbach	12	8	1	3	+9	25
4	Wolfsburg	11	7	3	1	+16	24
5	Hertha	11	6	4	1	+7	22
6	Schalke 04	12	6	3	3	+3	21
7	Mainz	11	6	1	4	+2	19
8	Leverkusen	11	5	3	3	+8	18
9	FC Ingolstadt 04	11	5	2	4	+1	17
10	FC Koln	12	4	4	4	+0	16
11	Stuttgart	11	5	1	5	-4	16
12	Ein Frankfurt	11	3	4	4	-3	13
13	Hamburg	11	3	3	5	-2	12
14	Hoffenheim	11	2	5	4	-4	11
15	Augsburg	11	2	3	6	-6	9
16	Darmstadt	11	1	4	6	-11	7
17	Hannover	11	2	0	9	-7	6
18	Werder Bremen	10	1	3	6	-11	6

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bayern Munich	11	8	2	1	+12	26
2	Dortmund	12	7	2	3	+7	23
3	Hertha	12	5	2	5	+0	17
4	Darmstadt	11	5	2	4	+0	17
5	Leverkusen	11	5	2	4	+0	17
6	Augsburg	11	4	3	4	-1	15
7	Hamburg	11	4	3	4	-3	15
8	Mainz	11	4	2	5	-1	14
9	Werder Bremen	12	4	2	6	-8	14
10	Schalke 04	10	4	1	5	-1	13
11	FC Koln	11	3	4	4	-5	13
12	Stuttgart	11	3	3	5	-4	12
13	FC Ingolstadt 04	11	3	3	5	-8	12
14	M'gladbach	10	3	1	6	-4	10
15	Ein Frankfurt	11	2	3	6	-7	9
16	Hannover	11	2	2	7	-11	8
17	Hoffenheim	11	1	4	6	-7	7
18	Wolfsburg	11	1	4	6	-13	7

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.