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La Liga
Referee: Alejandro Hernandez
Villarreal
U S U S U
3–0
Full-time
Levante
S T T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Villarreal Levante
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,7
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
17%
67%
Both score Ø 34%
17%
50%
Average goals
1,0
3,8
Scored
0,7
1,7
Conceded
0,3
2,2
Goal diff per game
+0,3
-0,5
This season — La Liga · 25/25 matches
Win Ø 38%
56%
20%
Points per game
2,0
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 46%
36%
56%
Both score Ø 42%
40%
44%
Average goals
1,9
2,8
Scored
1,2
1,0
Conceded
0,7
1,8
Goal diff per game
+0,5
-0,8
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

50% Possession 50%
9 Shots 7
3 Shots on target 1
0 Blocked shots 3
1 Goalkeeper saves 0
3 Corners 4
4 Offside 0
0 Free kicks against 0
0 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Villarreal 4. · Levante 19.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Barcelona 25 20 3 2 +47 63
2 Ath Madrid 26 18 4 4 +25 58
3 Real Madrid 26 16 6 4 +46 54
4 Villarreal 25 14 7 4 +12 49
5 Sevilla 25 11 8 6 +10 41
6 Celta 26 12 5 9 -5 41
7 Eibar 26 10 6 10 +5 36
8 Ath Bilbao 25 10 5 10 +0 35
9 Sociedad 26 9 7 10 +1 34
10 La Coruna 25 6 14 5 +2 32
11 Malaga 26 8 8 10 +0 32
12 Valencia 25 7 10 8 +4 31
13 Betis 26 6 10 10 -15 28
14 Espanol 26 8 4 14 -24 28
15 Getafe 26 7 5 14 -14 26
16 Vallecano 26 6 8 12 -17 26
17 Las Palmas 26 6 6 14 -15 24
18 Sp Gijon 26 6 6 14 -16 24
19 Levante 25 5 5 15 -21 20
20 Granada 25 5 5 15 -25 20

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

4. Oct -15 Levante – Villarreal 1–0

Match report

Villarreal Levante
1–0 Léo Baptistão
Bruno
12′
27′
🟨 David Navarro
2–0 Samu Castillejo
Adrián
30′
39′
🟨 Jefferson Lerma
44′
🟨 Verza
Half-time 2–0
Víctor Ruíz 🔁
↦ M. Musacchio
46′
3–0 Adrián
Nahuel Leiva
48′
54′
🔁 Víctor Camarasa
↦ G. Rossi
54′
🔁 M. Cuero
↦ Joan Verdú
56′
🟨 David Navarro
56′
🟥 David Navarro
Tomás Pina 🔁
↦ Trigueros
70′
72′
🔁 Xumetra
↦ José Luis Morales
C. Bakambu 🔁
↦ Adrián
73′
Full-time 3–0

Line-ups

Villarreal

13 A. Areola G
23 D. Bonera D
5 M. Musacchio D
24 E. Bailly D
27 Adrián Marín D
21 Bruno M
14 Trigueros M
19 Samu Castillejo M
20 Adrián
10 Léo Baptistão F
26 Nahuel Leiva M
Bench (7)
6 Víctor Ruíz
4 Tomás Pina
17 C. Bakambu
1 Sergio Asenjo
2 Mario Gaspar
9 Soldado
18 Denis Suárez

Levante

1 Diego Mariño G
4 David Navarro
3 Toño M
14 C. Medjani D
25 Joan Verdú M
5 Simão Junior
7 Verza M
11 José Luis Morales M
8 J. Lerma M
21 G. Rossi F
20 Deyverson F
Bench (7)
6 Víctor Camarasa
9 M. Cuero
17 Xumetra
13 Rubén
16 Ángel Trujillo
18 Víctor Casadesús
24 Z. Feddal

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Alejandro Hernandez · 223 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,6 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
23,8 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,27 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.