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Ligue 1

Referee: Lionel Jaffredo

Lyon

T S S S T

2–1

Full-time

Paris SG

S S S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Lyon Paris SG

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 67%

50%

83%

Points per game

1,7

2,7

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

50%

67%

Both score Ø 50%

33%

67%

Average goals

2,5

3,3

Scored

1,8

2,7

Conceded

0,7

Goal diff per game

+1,2

+2,0

This season — Ligue 1 · 27/27 matches

Win Ø 63%

41%

85%

Points per game

1,4

2,7

Over 2.5 Ø 54%

48%

59%

Both score Ø 41%

37%

44%

Average goals

2,5

3,0

Scored

1,4

2,5

Conceded

1,1

0,5

Goal diff per game

+0,3

+2,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

36% Possession 64%

14 Shots 7

7 Shots on target 3

2 Blocked shots 0

2 Goalkeeper saves 6

6 Corners 2

0 Offside 7

0 Free kicks against 0

3 Yellow cards 5

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Lyon 8. · Paris SG 1. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	27	23	4	0	+54	73
2	Monaco	28	13	11	4	+10	50
3	Caen	28	13	3	12	-6	42
4	Nice	28	11	8	9	+7	41
5	Rennes	28	10	11	7	+3	41
6	St Etienne	28	12	5	11	+1	41
7	Nantes	27	10	10	7	+2	40
8	Lyon	27	11	6	10	+9	39
9	Angers	28	10	8	10	+0	38
10	Lorient	28	9	10	9	-1	37
11	Bastia	27	11	4	12	-2	37
12	Bordeaux	28	9	10	9	-6	37
13	Marseille	27	8	12	7	+9	36
14	Montpellier	28	10	5	13	+3	35
15	Lille	28	7	13	8	-2	34
16	Guingamp	28	8	8	12	-7	32
17	Reims	28	8	8	12	-7	32
18	Gazelec FC Ajaccio	27	6	10	11	-10	28
19	Toulouse	28	4	10	14	-20	22
20	Troyes	28	2	8	18	-37	14

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	13	11	2	0	+32	35
2	Bastia	13	9	0	4	+9	27
3	Monaco	14	7	5	2	+8	26
4	Bordeaux	14	7	4	3	+6	25
5	Lyon	13	7	3	3	+13	24
6	St Etienne	14	7	3	4	+5	24
7	Lorient	14	6	5	3	+7	23
8	Nice	14	7	2	5	+5	23
9	Nantes	14	6	5	3	+3	23
10	Lille	14	6	4	4	+4	22
11	Caen	14	7	1	6	-5	22
12	Angers	14	5	6	3	+3	21
13	Montpellier	15	7	0	8	+2	21
14	Guingamp	14	5	5	4	+4	20
15	Reims	15	5	5	5	+3	20
16	Rennes	13	4	5	4	-1	17
17	Gazelec FC Ajaccio	13	3	6	4	-3	15
18	Marseille	14	2	8	4	+5	14
19	Toulouse	14	2	7	5	-2	13
20	Troyes	14	0	6	8	-12	6

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	14	12	2	0	+22	38
2	Rennes	15	6	6	3	+4	24
3	Monaco	14	6	6	2	+2	24
4	Marseille	13	6	4	3	+4	22
5	Caen	14	6	2	6	-1	20
6	Nice	14	4	6	4	+2	18
7	Nantes	13	4	5	4	-1	17
8	Angers	14	5	2	7	-3	17
9	St Etienne	14	5	2	7	-4	17
10	Lyon	14	4	3	7	-4	15
11	Montpellier	13	3	5	5	+1	14
12	Lorient	14	3	5	6	-8	14
13	Gazelec FC Ajaccio	14	3	4	7	-7	13
14	Lille	14	1	9	4	-6	12
15	Reims	13	3	3	7	-10	12
16	Guingamp	14	3	3	8	-11	12
17	Bordeaux	14	2	6	6	-12	12
18	Bastia	14	2	4	8	-11	10
19	Toulouse	14	2	3	9	-18	9
20	Troyes	14	2	2	10	-25	8

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.