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La Liga

Referee: Mario Melero Lopez

Ath Bilbao

U T T S S

0–0

Full-time

Villarreal

S S U U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ath Bilbao Villarreal

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 59%

50%

67%

Points per game

1,7

2,3

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

50%

33%

Both score Ø 33%

33%

Average goals

3,5

1,8

Scored

1,5

1,3

Conceded

2,0

0,5

Goal diff per game

-0,5

+0,8

This season — La Liga · 22/22 matches

Win Ø 52%

45%

59%

Points per game

1,5

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

59%

41%

Both score Ø 45%

45%

Average goals

2,9

2,1

Scored

1,5

1,3

Conceded

1,4

0,8

Goal diff per game

+0,1

+0,5

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

60% Possession 40%

10 Shots 2

1 Shots on target 2

2 Blocked shots 0

2 Goalkeeper saves 1

5 Corners 3

3 Offside 2

0 Free kicks against 0

6 Yellow cards 6

1 Red cards 1

The table before the match Ath Bilbao 6. · Villarreal 4. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Barcelona	21	16	3	2	+37	51
2	Ath Madrid	23	16	3	4	+23	51
3	Real Madrid	22	14	5	3	+44	47
4	Villarreal	22	13	5	4	+11	44
5	Sevilla	22	10	6	6	+8	36
6	Ath Bilbao	22	10	4	8	+3	34
7	Celta	22	10	4	8	-2	34
8	Eibar	23	9	6	8	+5	33
9	La Coruna	22	6	12	4	+3	30
10	Malaga	23	8	6	9	+1	30
11	Getafe	23	7	5	11	-9	26
12	Valencia	22	5	10	7	+3	25
13	Sociedad	22	6	6	10	-8	24
14	Vallecano	23	6	5	12	-17	23
15	Betis	22	5	7	10	-16	22
16	Espanol	22	6	4	12	-21	22
17	Sp Gijon	21	6	3	12	-12	21
18	Las Palmas	23	5	6	12	-13	21
19	Granada	22	5	5	12	-20	20
20	Levante	22	4	5	13	-20	17

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Barcelona	12	11	1	0	+32	34
2	Real Madrid	12	10	1	1	+35	31
3	Sevilla	12	10	0	2	+14	30
4	Villarreal	12	9	2	1	+11	29
5	Ath Madrid	11	8	2	1	+9	26
6	Getafe	12	6	3	3	+9	21
7	Eibar	12	6	3	3	+7	21
8	Ath Bilbao	10	6	2	2	+11	20
9	Malaga	11	5	3	3	+7	18
10	Las Palmas	12	5	3	4	+1	18
11	Celta	11	5	2	4	+0	17
12	Vallecano	12	5	2	5	+0	17
13	Valencia	11	3	7	1	+6	16
14	Espanol	10	4	4	2	-2	16
15	La Coruna	11	3	6	2	+5	15
16	Sociedad	11	4	3	4	+0	15
17	Levante	11	3	3	5	-5	12
18	Sp Gijon	9	3	2	4	+1	11
19	Granada	10	3	2	5	-7	11
20	Betis	10	1	4	5	-9	7

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ath Madrid	12	8	1	3	+14	25
2	Barcelona	9	5	2	2	+5	17
3	Celta	11	5	2	4	-2	17
4	Real Madrid	10	4	4	2	+9	16
5	Villarreal	10	4	3	3	+0	15
6	La Coruna	11	3	6	2	-2	15
7	Betis	12	4	3	5	-7	15
8	Ath Bilbao	12	4	2	6	-8	14
9	Eibar	11	3	3	5	-2	12
10	Malaga	12	3	3	6	-6	12
11	Sp Gijon	12	3	1	8	-13	10
12	Valencia	11	2	3	6	-3	9
13	Sociedad	11	2	3	6	-8	9
14	Granada	12	2	3	7	-13	9
15	Sevilla	10	0	6	4	-6	6
16	Vallecano	11	1	3	7	-17	6
17	Espanol	12	2	0	10	-19	6
18	Levante	11	1	2	8	-15	5
19	Getafe	11	1	2	8	-18	5
20	Las Palmas	11	0	3	8	-14	3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.