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Serie A
Referee: Michael Fabbri
Chievo
T T S U T
1–0
Full-time
Genoa
U T U T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Chievo Genoa
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
17%
17%
Points per game
0,7
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
67%
33%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
3,2
1,5
Scored
0,8
0,7
Conceded
2,3
0,8
Goal diff per game
-1,5
-0,2
This season — Serie A · 26/26 matches
Win Ø 29%
31%
27%
Points per game
1,2
1,1
Over 2.5 Ø 37%
38%
35%
Both score Ø 46%
54%
38%
Average goals
2,6
2,2
Scored
1,2
1,0
Conceded
1,4
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,2
-0,2
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

46% Possession 54%
16 Shots 11
6 Shots on target 4
5 Blocked shots 4
4 Goalkeeper saves 5
5 Corners 7
5 Offside 4
0 Free kicks against 0
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Chievo 12. · Genoa 14.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Juventus 26 18 4 4 +31 58
2 Napoli 26 17 6 3 +33 57
3 Roma 27 15 8 4 +27 53
4 Fiorentina 26 16 4 6 +21 52
5 Inter 26 14 6 6 +11 48
6 Milan 27 13 8 6 +11 47
7 Sassuolo 26 9 11 6 +1 38
8 Lazio 26 10 7 9 +0 37
9 Bologna 27 10 5 12 -2 35
10 Empoli 27 9 7 11 -7 34
11 Torino 27 8 8 11 -1 32
12 Chievo 26 8 7 11 -5 31
13 Atalanta 26 7 8 11 -5 29
14 Genoa 26 7 7 12 -4 28
15 Udinese 26 7 6 13 -18 27
16 Palermo 27 7 6 14 -20 27
17 Sampdoria 26 6 7 13 -9 25
18 Frosinone 26 6 5 15 -25 23
19 Carpi 26 4 8 14 -20 20
20 Verona 26 2 12 12 -19 18

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

18. Oct -15 Genoa – Chievo 3–2

Match report

Chievo Genoa
Half-time 0–0
48′
🟨 Blerim Džemaili
1–0 L. Castro
F. Cacciatore
51′
Ivan Radovanović 🟨
53′
57′
🔁 Capel
↦ Suso
60′
🔁 P. Tachtsidis
↦ B. Džemaili
62′
🟨 Cristian Ansaldi
63′
🔁 D. Lazović
↦ A. Cerci
P. Hetemaj 🔁
↦ N. Rigoni
68′
R. Meggiorini 🔁
↦ V. Birsa
72′
N. Frey 🔁
↦ L. Castro
82′
Massimo Gobbi 🟨
88′
90′
🟨 Sebastian De Maio
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Chievo

1 A. Bizzarri G
12 B. Cesar D
3 D. Dainelli D
18 M. Gobbi D
29 F. Cacciatore D
23 V. Birsa M
4 N. Rigoni M
8 I. Radovanović M
19 L. Castro M
31 S. Pellissier F
40 P. M'Poku F
Bench (10)
56 P. Hetemaj
69 R. Meggiorini
21 N. Frey
7 S. Pepe
10 N. Ninković
20 G. Sardo
32 W. Bressan
36 F. Costa
83 A. Floro Flores
90 A. Seculin

Genoa

1 M. Perin G
8 N. Burdisso D
3 C. Ansaldi M
4 S. De Maio D
31 B. Džemaili M
11 A. Cerci F
30 L. Rigoni M
88 T. Rincón M
93 D. Laxalt M
42 T. Matavž F
17 Suso F
Bench (11)
16 Capel
77 P. Tachtsidis
22 D. Lazović
15 G. Marchese
18 J. Ntcham
21 G. Pandev
23 E. Lamanna
29 R. Fiamozzi
32 A. Donnarumma
34 Gabriel Silva
98 Asencio

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Michael Fabbri · 75 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,5 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
20,4 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,19 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.