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La Liga
Referee: Alfonso Alvarez Izquierdo
Getafe
U T U T T
1–5
Full-time
Real Madrid
S S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Getafe Real Madrid
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
0%
100%
Points per game
0,3
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
33%
100%
Both score Ø 50%
33%
67%
Average goals
3,0
4,3
Scored
0,3
3,7
Conceded
2,7
0,7
Goal diff per game
-2,3
+3,0
This season — La Liga · 32/32 matches
Win Ø 46%
22%
69%
Points per game
0,9
2,3
Over 2.5 Ø 60%
47%
72%
Both score Ø 47%
38%
56%
Average goals
2,6
3,8
Scored
0,9
2,9
Conceded
1,8
0,9
Goal diff per game
-0,9
+2,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

37% Possession 63%
12 Shots 21
5 Shots on target 11
3 Blocked shots 5
6 Goalkeeper saves 3
5 Corners 6
1 Offside 2
0 Free kicks against 0
4 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Getafe 20. · Real Madrid 3.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Barcelona 32 24 4 4 +60 76
2 Ath Madrid 32 23 4 5 +38 73
3 Real Madrid 32 22 6 4 +64 72
4 Villarreal 32 17 9 6 +15 60
5 Celta 32 15 7 10 -7 52
6 Ath Bilbao 32 15 6 11 +10 51
7 Sevilla 32 13 9 10 +6 48
8 Malaga 32 10 11 11 +1 41
9 Sociedad 32 11 8 13 -2 41
10 Las Palmas 32 11 6 15 -7 39
11 Eibar 32 10 8 14 -5 38
12 Valencia 32 9 10 13 -3 37
13 La Coruna 32 7 16 9 -6 37
14 Betis 32 9 10 13 -16 37
15 Espanol 33 10 6 17 -28 36
16 Vallecano 32 7 10 15 -21 31
17 Granada 32 7 9 16 -24 30
18 Sp Gijon 32 7 7 18 -21 28
19 Levante 33 7 7 19 -26 28
20 Getafe 32 7 7 18 -28 28

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

5. Dec -15 Real Madrid – Getafe 4–1

Match report

Getafe Real Madrid
K. Yoda 🔁
↦ Á. Pereira
9′
29′
K. Benzema 0–1
J. Rodríguez
40′
Isco 0–2
K. Benzema
Damián Suárez 🟨
43′
Half-time 0–3
50′
G. Bale 0–3
K. Benzema
E. Buendía 🔁
↦ M. Lacen
52′
52′
🔁 Nacho
↦ Daniel Carvajal
57′
🔁 Lucas Vázquez
↦ G. Bale
Álvaro Vázquez 🟨
61′
Moi Gómez 🔁
↦ Álvaro Vázquez
62′
67′
🔁 Jesé
↦ K. Benzema
Pedro León 🟨
78′
1–3 Pablo Sarabia
Moi Gómez
83′
Moi Gómez 🟨
85′
88′
J. Rodríguez 1–4
Lucas Vázquez
90′
🟨 Nacho Fernández
92′
Cristiano Ronaldo 1–5
Jesé
Full-time 1–5

Line-ups

Getafe

13 Guaita G
2 Á. Pereira D
19 D. Suárez D
5 S. Vergini D
15 Carlos Vigaray D
22 Juan Rodríguez M
14 Pedro León M
8 M. Lacen M
10 Pablo Sarabia M
12 S. Šćepović F
9 Álvaro Vázquez F
Bench (7)
11 K. Yoda
32 E. Buendía
21 Moi Gómez
1 B. Megyeri
17 B. Mensah
18 Víctor Rodríguez
30 Wamberto

Real Madrid

1 K. Navas G
3 Pepe D
12 Marcelo D
15 Daniel Carvajal D
2 R. Varane D
11 G. Bale F
8 T. Kroos M
10 J. Rodríguez M
22 Isco M
7 Cristiano Ronaldo F
9 K. Benzema F
Bench (7)
6 Nacho
18 Lucas Vázquez
20 Jesé
13 Kiko Casilla
16 M. Kovačić
17 Arbeloa
19 L. Modrić

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Alfonso Alvarez Izquierdo · 53 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,5 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
19,4 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,32 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.