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La Liga

Referee: Jesus Gil Manzano

Real Madrid

S S U T S

7–1

Full-time

Celta

U T S S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Real Madrid Celta

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

67%

33%

Points per game

2,2

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

67%

50%

Both score Ø 67%

67%

Average goals

3,7

3,0

Scored

2,7

1,2

Conceded

1,0

1,8

Goal diff per game

+1,7

-0,7

This season — La Liga · 27/27 matches

Win Ø 54%

63%

44%

Points per game

2,1

1,6

Over 2.5 Ø 62%

67%

56%

Both score Ø 58%

56%

59%

Average goals

3,7

3,1

Scored

2,7

1,4

Conceded

1,0

1,6

Goal diff per game

+1,8

-0,2

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

56% Possession 44%

20 Shots 8

12 Shots on target 3

5 Blocked shots 3

2 Goalkeeper saves 5

10 Corners 5

1 Offside 2

0 Free kicks against 0

2 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Real Madrid 3. · Celta 6. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Barcelona	27	22	3	2	+52	69
2	Ath Madrid	27	19	4	4	+28	61
3	Real Madrid	27	17	6	4	+48	57
4	Villarreal	27	15	8	4	+15	53
5	Sevilla	27	12	8	7	+10	44
6	Celta	27	12	6	9	-5	42
7	Ath Bilbao	27	12	5	10	+6	41
8	Eibar	27	10	6	11	+4	36
9	Valencia	27	8	10	9	+2	34
10	Sociedad	27	9	7	11	-2	34
11	Malaga	27	8	8	11	-1	32
12	La Coruna	27	6	14	7	-2	32
13	Betis	27	7	10	10	-12	31
14	Espanol	27	8	4	15	-27	28
15	Las Palmas	27	7	6	14	-11	27
16	Getafe	27	7	5	15	-18	26
17	Vallecano	27	6	8	13	-21	26
18	Granada	27	7	5	15	-22	26
19	Sp Gijon	27	6	6	15	-18	24
20	Levante	27	5	5	17	-26	20

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Barcelona	14	13	1	0	+38	40
2	Sevilla	14	12	0	2	+17	36
3	Villarreal	14	11	2	1	+15	35
4	Real Madrid	14	11	1	2	+36	34
5	Ath Madrid	13	9	3	1	+12	30
6	Ath Bilbao	13	7	3	3	+13	24
7	Eibar	14	7	3	4	+8	24
8	Celta	14	6	4	4	+1	22
9	Getafe	14	6	3	5	+7	21
10	Las Palmas	14	6	3	5	+4	21
11	Malaga	13	5	4	4	+6	19
12	Valencia	13	4	7	2	+4	19
13	Sociedad	13	5	4	4	+3	19
14	Espanol	13	5	4	4	-9	19
15	Vallecano	14	5	3	6	-4	18
16	La Coruna	13	3	7	3	+4	16
17	Levante	14	4	3	7	-6	15
18	Granada	13	4	2	7	-7	14
19	Sp Gijon	13	3	4	6	-3	13
20	Betis	13	2	6	5	-8	12

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ath Madrid	14	10	1	3	+16	31
2	Barcelona	13	9	2	2	+14	29
3	Real Madrid	13	6	5	2	+12	23
4	Celta	13	6	2	5	-6	20
5	Betis	14	5	4	5	-4	19
6	Villarreal	13	4	6	3	+0	18
7	Ath Bilbao	14	5	2	7	-7	17
8	La Coruna	14	3	7	4	-6	16
9	Valencia	14	4	3	7	-2	15
10	Sociedad	14	4	3	7	-5	15
11	Malaga	14	3	4	7	-7	13
12	Eibar	13	3	3	7	-4	12
13	Granada	14	3	3	8	-15	12
14	Sp Gijon	14	3	2	9	-15	11
15	Espanol	14	3	0	11	-18	9
16	Sevilla	13	0	8	5	-7	8
17	Vallecano	13	1	5	7	-17	8
18	Las Palmas	13	1	3	9	-15	6
19	Levante	13	1	2	10	-20	5
20	Getafe	13	1	2	10	-25	5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.