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La Liga
Referee: Alfonso Alvarez Izquierdo
Eibar
U T T S S
1–1
Full-time
Sevilla
T T S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Eibar Sevilla
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,2
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
2,8
3,8
Scored
1,2
1,7
Conceded
1,7
2,2
Goal diff per game
-0,5
-0,5
This season — La Liga · 3/3 matches
Win Ø 67%
67%
67%
Points per game
2,0
2,3
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
2,3
4,3
Scored
1,3
2,7
Conceded
1,0
1,7
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

45% Possession 55%
10 Shots 8
2 Shots on target 4
4 Blocked shots 0
3 Goalkeeper saves 1
4 Corners 2
4 Offside 1
19 Free kicks against 10
1 Yellow cards 1
2 Red cards 0
The table before the match Eibar 7. · Sevilla 4.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Barcelona 4 3 0 1 +8 9
2 Real Madrid 3 3 0 0 +7 9
3 Ath Madrid 4 2 2 0 +9 8
4 Sevilla 3 2 1 0 +3 7
5 Sp Gijon 4 2 1 1 -3 7
6 Las Palmas 3 2 0 1 +5 6
7 Eibar 3 2 0 1 +1 6
8 Villarreal 3 1 2 0 +2 5
9 Alaves 3 1 2 0 +1 5
10 Betis 4 1 2 1 -3 5
11 La Coruna 3 1 1 1 +0 4
12 Sociedad 3 1 1 1 -1 4
13 Leganes 4 1 1 2 -4 4
14 Ath Bilbao 3 1 0 2 -1 3
15 Espanol 3 0 2 1 -2 2
16 Malaga 3 0 2 1 -2 2
17 Granada 4 0 2 2 -5 2
18 Osasuna 3 0 1 2 -5 1
19 Valencia 3 0 0 3 -4 0
20 Celta 3 0 0 3 -6 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Eibar Sevilla
14′
🔁 Sergio Escudero
↦ A. Rami
27′
L. Vietto 0–1
H. Kiyotake
Ander Capa 🟨
39′
Yoel Rodríguez 🟥
45′
Half-time 0–1
46′
🔁 Vitolo
↦ W. Ben Yedder
Markel Areitio 🔁
↦ Bebé
48′
48′
🔁 Iborra
↦ Daniel Carriço
60′
🟨 Joaquín Correa
Rubén Peña 🔁
↦ Kike
62′
1–1 Pedro León
Luna
64′
Dani García 🟥
86′
G. Escalante 🔁
↦ Pedro León
89′
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Eibar

4-4-2
1 Yoel G
20 F. Lejeune D
19 Luna D
3 Alejandro Gálvez D
7 Ander Capa D
21 Pedro León M
16 Fran Rico M
14 Dani García M
17 Kike F
9 Sergi Enrich F
25 Bebé F
Bench (7)
30 Markel Areitio
11 Rubén Peña
5 G. Escalante
18 Arbilla
15 M. Dos Santos
10 Jota Peleteiro
22 Nano

Coach: Mendilibar

Sevilla

4-3-1-2
25 S. Sirigu G
23 A. Rami D
24 G. Mercado D
5 T. Kolodziejczak D
6 Daniel Carriço D
14 H. Kiyotake M
19 Ganso M
11 J. Correa M
4 M. Kranevitter M
12 W. Ben Yedder F
9 L. Vietto F
Bench (7)
18 Sergio Escudero
20 Vitolo
8 Iborra
22 F. Vázquez
17 Pablo Sarabia
30 Carlos Fernández
1 Sergio Rico

Coach: J. Sampaoli

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Alfonso Alvarez Izquierdo · 53 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,5 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
19,4 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,32 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.