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La Liga

Referee: Jose Maria Sanchez Martinez

Las Palmas

U T S S T

1–0

Full-time

Malaga

T S U U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Las Palmas Malaga

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 33%

33%

Points per game

1,2

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

83%

50%

Both score Ø 75%

83%

67%

Average goals

4,2

3,0

Scored

2,2

1,7

Conceded

2,0

1,3

Goal diff per game

+0,2

+0,3

This season — La Liga · 3/3 matches

Win Ø 34%

67%

Points per game

2,0

0,7

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

100%

33%

Both score Ø 84%

100%

67%

Average goals

5,0

2,7

Scored

3,3

1,0

Conceded

1,7

Goal diff per game

+1,7

-0,7

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

65% Possession 35%

6 Shots 10

2 Shots on target 2

0 Blocked shots 3

2 Goalkeeper saves 1

2 Corners 2

3 Offside 3

11 Free kicks against 18

3 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Las Palmas 7. · Malaga 16. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Barcelona	4	3	0	1	+8	9
2	Real Madrid	3	3	0	0	+7	9
3	Ath Madrid	4	2	2	0	+9	8
4	Sevilla	4	2	2	0	+3	8
5	Eibar	4	2	1	1	+1	7
6	Sp Gijon	4	2	1	1	-3	7
7	Las Palmas	3	2	0	1	+5	6
8	Villarreal	3	1	2	0	+2	5
9	Alaves	3	1	2	0	+1	5
10	Betis	4	1	2	1	-3	5
11	La Coruna	3	1	1	1	+0	4
12	Sociedad	3	1	1	1	-1	4
13	Leganes	4	1	1	2	-4	4
14	Ath Bilbao	3	1	0	2	-1	3
15	Espanol	3	0	2	1	-2	2
16	Malaga	3	0	2	1	-2	2
17	Granada	4	0	2	2	-5	2
18	Osasuna	3	0	1	2	-5	1
19	Valencia	3	0	0	3	-4	0
20	Celta	3	0	0	3	-6	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Real Madrid	2	2	0	0	+4	6
2	Sevilla	2	2	0	0	+3	6
3	Sp Gijon	2	2	0	0	+2	6
4	Ath Madrid	2	1	1	0	+5	4
5	Eibar	2	1	1	0	+1	4
6	Las Palmas	1	1	0	0	+4	3
7	Barcelona	2	1	0	1	+3	3
8	La Coruna	2	1	0	1	+0	3
9	Betis	2	0	2	0	+0	2
10	Espanol	1	0	1	0	+0	1
11	Villarreal	1	0	1	0	+0	1
12	Alaves	1	0	1	0	+0	1
13	Granada	2	0	1	1	-1	1
14	Malaga	2	0	1	1	-2	1
15	Sociedad	2	0	1	1	-3	1
16	Leganes	2	0	1	1	-4	1
17	Ath Bilbao	1	0	0	1	-1	0
18	Osasuna	1	0	0	1	-2	0
19	Valencia	2	0	0	2	-3	0
20	Celta	2	0	0	2	-5	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Barcelona	2	2	0	0	+5	6
2	Ath Madrid	2	1	1	0	+4	4
3	Villarreal	2	1	1	0	+2	4
4	Alaves	2	1	1	0	+1	4
5	Real Madrid	1	1	0	0	+3	3
6	Sociedad	1	1	0	0	+2	3
7	Las Palmas	2	1	0	1	+1	3
8	Eibar	2	1	0	1	+0	3
9	Leganes	2	1	0	1	+0	3
10	Ath Bilbao	2	1	0	1	+0	3
11	Betis	2	1	0	1	-3	3
12	Sevilla	2	0	2	0	+0	2
13	Malaga	1	0	1	0	+0	1
14	La Coruna	1	0	1	0	+0	1
15	Espanol	2	0	1	1	-2	1
16	Osasuna	2	0	1	1	-3	1
17	Granada	2	0	1	1	-4	1
18	Sp Gijon	2	0	1	1	-5	1
19	Celta	1	0	0	1	-1	0
20	Valencia	1	0	0	1	-1	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.