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La Liga
Referee: Carlos Del Cerro Grande
Villarreal
U S T T U
0–0
Full-time
Sevilla
S T T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Villarreal Sevilla
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
17%
33%
Points per game
0,8
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
17%
67%
Both score Ø 42%
17%
67%
Average goals
1,8
4,2
Scored
0,5
1,8
Conceded
1,3
2,3
Goal diff per game
-0,8
-0,5
This season — La Liga · 1/1 matches
Win Ø 50%
0%
100%
Points per game
1,0
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
0%
100%
Both score Ø 100%
100%
100%
Average goals
2,0
10,0
Scored
1,0
6,0
Conceded
1,0
4,0
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+2,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

37% Possession 63%
12 Shots 6
5 Shots on target 0
2 Blocked shots 1
0 Goalkeeper saves 5
5 Corners 1
2 Offside 2
16 Free kicks against 12
1 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Villarreal 13. · Sevilla 7.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Las Palmas 2 2 0 0 +6 6
2 Barcelona 2 2 0 0 +5 6
3 Real Madrid 2 2 0 0 +4 6
4 Sp Gijon 2 1 1 0 +1 4
5 La Coruna 2 1 1 0 +1 4
6 Leganes 2 1 1 0 +1 4
7 Sevilla 1 1 0 0 +2 3
8 Eibar 2 1 0 1 +0 3
9 Sociedad 2 1 0 1 -1 3
10 Malaga 2 0 2 0 +0 2
11 Ath Madrid 2 0 2 0 +0 2
12 Alaves 2 0 2 0 +0 2
13 Villarreal 1 0 1 0 +0 1
14 Espanol 2 0 1 1 -2 1
15 Osasuna 2 0 1 1 -2 1
16 Betis 2 0 1 1 -4 1
17 Granada 2 0 1 1 -4 1
18 Ath Bilbao 2 0 0 2 -2 0
19 Celta 2 0 0 2 -2 0
20 Valencia 2 0 0 2 -3 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Villarreal Sevilla
R. Borré 🔁
↦ Alexandre Pato
31′
32′
🟨 Timothée Kolodziejczak
Half-time 0–0
Roberto Soriano 🟨
48′
49′
🟨 Vitolo
61′
🔁 W. Ben Yedder
↦ H. Kiyotake
66′
🟨 Pablo Sarabia
78′
🔁 Iborra
↦ F. Vázquez
83′
🔁 G. Mercado
↦ N. Pareja
Aitor Cantalapiedra 🔁
↦ N. Sansone
87′
A. N'Diaye 🔁
↦ Trigueros
90′
Full-time 0–0

Line-ups

Villarreal

4-4-2
1 Sergio Asenjo G
5 M. Musacchio D
2 Mario Gaspar D
11 Jaume Costa D
6 Víctor Ruíz D
21 Bruno M
20 R. Soriano M
14 Trigueros M
19 Samu Castillejo M
10 Alexandre Pato F
18 N. Sansone F
Bench (7)
24 R. Borré
27 Aitor Cantalapiedra
4 A. N'Diaye
3 José Ángel
13 Andrés Fernández
22 A. Rukavina
35 Rodri Hernández

Coach: Fran Escribá

Sevilla

3-5-2
1 Sergio Rico G
21 N. Pareja
23 A. Rami D
25 Mariano D
5 T. Kolodziejczak D
15 S. N'Zonzi M
14 H. Kiyotake M
17 Pablo Sarabia M
20 Vitolo M
22 F. Vázquez M
9 L. Vietto F
Bench (7)
12 W. Ben Yedder
8 Iborra
24 G. Mercado
4 M. Kranevitter
11 J. Correa
19 Ganso
31 Churripi

Coach: J. Sampaoli

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Carlos Del Cerro Grande · 78 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,0 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
20,7 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,21 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.