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La Liga
Referee: Juan Martinez Munuera
Sevilla
T T T S U
2–1
Full-time
Las Palmas
T U T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sevilla Las Palmas
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,2
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
50%
83%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
3,7
4,3
Scored
1,7
2,7
Conceded
2,0
1,7
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+1,0
This season — La Liga · 2/2 matches
Win Ø 75%
50%
100%
Points per game
2,0
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
50%
100%
Both score Ø 75%
50%
100%
Average goals
5,0
6,0
Scored
3,0
4,5
Conceded
2,0
1,5
Goal diff per game
+1,0
+3,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

65% Possession 35%
15 Shots 7
7 Shots on target 4
3 Blocked shots 2
3 Goalkeeper saves 5
10 Corners 1
5 Offside 4
15 Free kicks against 13
2 Yellow cards 5
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Sevilla 5. · Las Palmas 2.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Real Madrid 3 3 0 0 +7 9
2 Las Palmas 2 2 0 0 +6 6
3 Barcelona 2 2 0 0 +5 6
4 Ath Madrid 3 1 2 0 +4 5
5 Sevilla 2 1 1 0 +2 4
6 Sp Gijon 2 1 1 0 +1 4
7 La Coruna 2 1 1 0 +1 4
8 Leganes 2 1 1 0 +1 4
9 Sociedad 3 1 1 1 -1 4
10 Eibar 2 1 0 1 +0 3
11 Malaga 2 0 2 0 +0 2
12 Villarreal 2 0 2 0 +0 2
13 Alaves 2 0 2 0 +0 2
14 Espanol 3 0 2 1 -2 2
15 Betis 2 0 1 1 -4 1
16 Granada 2 0 1 1 -4 1
17 Osasuna 3 0 1 2 -5 1
18 Ath Bilbao 2 0 0 2 -2 0
19 Valencia 2 0 0 2 -3 0
20 Celta 3 0 0 3 -6 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Sevilla Las Palmas
-4′
🟨 David García
Franco Vázquez 🟨
9′
16′
Tana 0–1
45′
🟨 Marko Livaja
Half-time 0–1
Vitolo 🔁
↦ Ganso
46′
Nicolás Pareja 🟨
54′
54′
🟨 Roque Mesa
56′
🟨 Pedro Bigas
56′
🔁 Momo
↦ M. García
Carlos Fernández 🔁
↦ W. Ben Yedder
66′
Pablo Sarabia 🔁
↦ J. Correa
67′
76′
🔁 S. Araújo
↦ Tana
79′
🔁 Montoro
↦ Vicente Gómez
81′
🟨 Sergio Araujo
88′
🟨 Pedro Bigas
88′
🟥 Pedro Bigas
1–1 Pablo Sarabia
89′
2–1 Carlos Fernández
94′
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Sevilla

4-1-4-1
1 Sergio Rico G
21 N. Pareja
23 A. Rami D
3 Mariano D
18 Sergio Escudero D
10 S. Nasri M
15 S. N'Zonzi M
19 Ganso M
11 J. Correa M
22 F. Vázquez M
12 W. Ben Yedder F
Bench (7)
20 Vitolo
30 Carlos Fernández
17 Pablo Sarabia
8 Iborra
25 S. Sirigu
24 G. Mercado
5 T. Kolodziejczak

Coach: J. Sampaoli

Las Palmas

4-1-4-1
13 Javi Varas
5 David García D
12 Míchel D
23 Dani Castellano D
17 Bigas D
4 Vicente Gómez M
15 Roque Mesa M
19 M. García M
8 N. El Zhar M
9 M. Livaja F
24 Tana M
Bench (7)
11 Momo
10 S. Araújo
6 Montoro
3 M. Lemos
2 David Simón
1 Raúl Lizoáin
20 Tyronne

Coach: Quique Setién

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Juan Martinez Munuera · 108 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,8 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
23,8 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,19 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.