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La Liga
Referee: David Fernandez Borbalan
Sp Gijon
T S T T T
2–3
Full-time
Eibar
S T U U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sp Gijon Eibar
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
17%
33%
Points per game
0,5
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 58%
83%
33%
Both score Ø 67%
83%
50%
Average goals
3,2
2,2
Scored
1,2
1,0
Conceded
2,0
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,8
-0,2
This season — La Liga · 17/17 matches
Win Ø 27%
18%
35%
Points per game
0,7
1,4
Over 2.5 Ø 62%
76%
47%
Both score Ø 68%
71%
65%
Average goals
3,0
2,6
Scored
1,0
1,3
Conceded
2,0
1,3
Goal diff per game
-1,0
+0,0
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–3

53% Possession 47%
10 Shots 19
4 Shots on target 8
2 Blocked shots 3
5 Goalkeeper saves 2
2 Corners 4
2 Offside 3
14 Free kicks against 16
4 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Sp Gijon 18. · Eibar 10.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Real Madrid 16 12 4 0 +31 40
2 Barcelona 18 11 5 2 +30 38
3 Sevilla 17 11 3 3 +15 36
4 Ath Madrid 18 10 4 4 +18 34
5 Villarreal 18 8 7 3 +14 31
6 Sociedad 17 9 2 6 +3 29
7 Ath Bilbao 18 8 4 6 +3 28
8 Celta 18 8 3 7 -3 27
9 Las Palmas 18 6 6 6 -2 24
10 Eibar 17 6 5 6 +0 23
11 Espanol 18 5 8 5 -3 23
12 Alaves 18 5 7 6 -3 22
13 Malaga 17 5 6 6 -3 21
14 Betis 18 6 3 9 -10 21
15 La Coruna 18 4 6 8 -5 18
16 Leganes 18 4 5 9 -16 17
17 Valencia 17 4 4 9 -7 16
18 Sp Gijon 17 3 3 11 -17 12
19 Granada 17 1 6 10 -24 9
20 Osasuna 17 1 5 11 -21 8

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Sp Gijon Eibar
4′
Adrián 0–1
1–1 Carlos Carmona
9′
Fernando Amorebieta 🟨
15′
21′
Pedro León 1–2
23′
Luna 1–3
26′
🔁 Yoel
↦ Asier Riesgo
Carlos Carmona 🟨
45′
45′
🟨 Takashi Inui
Half-time 1–3
Akram Afif 🔁
↦ Moi Gómez
46′
J. Babin 🔁
↦ Douglas Pereira
55′
2–3 Nacho Cases
58′
65′
🔁 Fran Rico
↦ Adrián
Rubén Sánchez 🔁
↦ Carlos Castro
66′
74′
🔁 Rubén Peña
↦ T. Inui
Jean-Sylvain Babin 🟨
90′
Sergio Álvarez 🟨
90′
Full-time 2–3

Line-ups

Sp Gijon

4-4-2
1 Pichu Cuéllar G
5 F. Amorebieta D
16 Lillo Castellano D
2 Douglas Pereira D
18 Isma López M
10 Nacho Cases M
6 Sergio Álvarez M
23 Moi Gómez M
19 Carlos Carmona M
25 Viguera F
9 Carlos Castro F
Bench (7)
17 Akram Afif
3 J. Babin
31 Rubén Sánchez
7 Víctor Rodríguez
13 Diego Mariño
15 Canella
21 Xavi Torres

Coach: Abelardo

Eibar

4-2-3-1
13 Asier Riesgo G
15 M. Dos Santos D
20 F. Lejeune D
19 Luna D
7 Ander Capa D
8 T. Inui M
21 Pedro León M
24 Adrián M
14 Dani García M
5 G. Escalante M
9 Sergi Enrich F
Bench (7)
1 Yoel
16 Fran Rico
11 Rubén Peña
3 Alejandro Gálvez
6 Christian Rivera
22 Nano
25 Bebé

Coach: Mendilibar

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

David Fernandez Borbalan · 58 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,7 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
18,6 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,33 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.