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Eredivisie
Referee: Ed Peter Janssen
Vitesse
U U S S T
3–1
Full-time
Twente
U T U S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Vitesse Twente
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
33%
17%
Points per game
1,3
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
67%
33%
Both score Ø 75%
83%
67%
Average goals
3,0
2,2
Scored
1,5
1,0
Conceded
1,5
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-0,2
This season — Eredivisie · 17/17 matches
Win Ø 35%
35%
35%
Points per game
1,4
1,4
Over 2.5 Ø 53%
53%
53%
Both score Ø 71%
71%
71%
Average goals
2,7
2,9
Scored
1,4
1,5
Conceded
1,3
1,4
Goal diff per game
+0,1
+0,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

38% Possession 62%
9 Shots 10
6 Shots on target 6
1 Blocked shots 1
5 Goalkeeper saves 3
5 Corners 5
3 Offside 2
10 Free kicks against 8
1 Yellow cards 2
1 Red cards 0
The table before the match Vitesse 8. · Twente 7.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Feyenoord 18 14 3 1 +37 45
2 Ajax 17 11 4 2 +22 37
3 PSV Eindhoven 18 10 7 1 +19 37
4 Heerenveen 17 9 4 4 +14 31
5 AZ Alkmaar 16 7 7 2 +9 28
6 Utrecht 16 7 6 3 +6 27
7 Twente 17 6 6 5 +3 24
8 Vitesse 17 6 5 6 +2 23
9 Heracles 18 5 6 7 -7 21
10 Groningen 17 5 5 7 -1 20
11 Willem II 17 4 7 6 -7 19
12 Nijmegen 17 4 7 6 -10 19
13 Sparta Rotterdam 18 4 5 9 -8 17
14 Den Haag 18 5 2 11 -15 17
15 Excelsior 18 4 4 10 -11 16
16 Zwolle 17 3 5 9 -21 14
17 Roda 18 1 10 7 -15 13
18 Go Ahead Eagles 18 3 3 12 -17 12

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Vitesse Twente
1–0 L. Baker
R. van Wolfswinkel
13′
2–0 R. van Wolfswinkel
K. Leerdam
39′
Half-time 3–0
3–0 M. Rashica
R. van Wolfswinkel
47′
60′
🔁 D. Seys
↦ B. Celina
61′
🔁 F. Jensen
↦ P. Bijen
64′
🟨 Mateusz Klich
M. van Bergen 🔁
↦ A. Tighadouini
68′
74′
🔁 K. Mokotjo
↦ J. van der Heyden
Kelvin Leerdam 🟨
77′
77′
M. Klich 3–1
Zhang Yuning 🔁
↦ R. van Wolfswinkel
78′
Lewis Baker 🟥
81′
M. Miazga 🔁
↦ M. Rashica
85′
86′
🟨 Dylan Seys
Full-time 3–1

Line-ups

Vitesse

4-3-3
1 E. Room G
6 A. Kruiswijk D
37 G. Kashia D
3 M. van der Werff D
5 K. Leerdam D
21 S. Yeini M
25 N. Foor M
10 A. Tighadouini F
34 L. Baker M
13 R. van Wolfswinkel F
7 M. Rashica F
Bench (9)
16 M. van Bergen
9 Zhang Yuning
19 M. Miazga
41 J. Calor
20 M. Osman
30 A. Koryan
43 L. Faye
29 J. Lelieveld
23 M. Tørnes

Coach: H. Fraser

Twente

4-3-3
1 N. Marsman G
5 S. Thesker D
6 D. Trajkovski D
3 J. Andersen D
25 P. Bijen D
2 H. ter Avest D
43 M. Klich M
23 J. van der Heyden M
10 B. Celina M
17 E. Ünal F
14 Y. Yeboah F
Bench (8)
11 D. Seys
19 F. Jensen
22 K. Mokotjo
24 J. Oosterwijk
16 J. Drommel
4 G. Katsikas
28 J. van der Lely
13 N. Hengelman

Coach: R. Hake

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Ed Peter Janssen · 67 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,3 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
16,4 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,17 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.