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La Liga

Referee: Mario Melero Lopez

Celta

S U T T S

1–0

Full-time

Alaves

S U U S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Celta Alaves

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 33%

33%

Points per game

1,2

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

83%

Both score Ø 42%

67%

17%

Average goals

3,5

1,0

Scored

1,7

0,7

Conceded

1,8

0,3

Goal diff per game

-0,2

+0,3

This season — La Liga · 17/17 matches

Win Ø 35%

41%

29%

Points per game

1,4

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 56%

76%

35%

Both score Ø 53%

59%

47%

Average goals

3,5

1,9

Scored

1,6

0,9

Conceded

1,9

1,0

Goal diff per game

-0,2

-0,1

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

60% Possession 40%

13 Shots 9

4 Shots on target 1

3 Blocked shots 3

1 Goalkeeper saves 3

7 Corners 4

4 Offside 0

19 Free kicks against 10

3 Yellow cards 6

0 Red cards 1

The table before the match Celta 9. · Alaves 12. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Real Madrid	16	12	4	0	+31	40
2	Barcelona	18	11	5	2	+30	38
3	Sevilla	17	11	3	3	+15	36
4	Ath Madrid	18	10	4	4	+18	34
5	Villarreal	18	8	7	3	+14	31
6	Sociedad	17	9	2	6	+3	29
7	Ath Bilbao	18	8	4	6	+3	28
8	Las Palmas	18	6	6	6	-2	24
9	Celta	17	7	3	7	-4	24
10	Eibar	17	6	5	6	+0	23
11	Espanol	18	5	8	5	-3	23
12	Alaves	17	5	7	5	-2	22
13	Malaga	17	5	6	6	-3	21
14	Betis	18	6	3	9	-10	21
15	La Coruna	18	4	6	8	-5	18
16	Leganes	18	4	5	9	-16	17
17	Valencia	17	4	4	9	-7	16
18	Sp Gijon	17	3	3	11	-17	12
19	Granada	17	1	6	10	-24	9
20	Osasuna	17	1	5	11	-21	8

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Real Madrid	9	7	2	0	+15	23
2	Sevilla	8	7	0	1	+9	21
3	Ath Madrid	9	6	2	1	+13	20
4	Villarreal	9	6	2	1	+12	20
5	Ath Bilbao	9	6	2	1	+7	20
6	Las Palmas	9	5	4	0	+9	19
7	Barcelona	9	5	3	1	+16	18
8	Celta	9	6	0	3	+2	18
9	Malaga	8	5	2	1	+6	17
10	Eibar	9	5	2	2	+4	17
11	Sociedad	9	5	2	2	+3	17
12	Betis	9	4	3	2	+0	15
13	La Coruna	9	4	2	3	+5	14
14	Espanol	9	2	5	2	+0	11
15	Alaves	8	2	4	2	-1	10
16	Sp Gijon	8	3	1	4	-6	10
17	Valencia	8	2	2	4	-4	8
18	Leganes	9	1	4	4	-6	7
19	Granada	8	1	3	4	-4	6
20	Osasuna	9	0	3	6	-11	3

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Barcelona	9	6	2	1	+14	20
2	Real Madrid	7	5	2	0	+16	17
3	Sevilla	9	4	3	2	+6	15
4	Ath Madrid	9	4	2	3	+5	14
5	Sociedad	8	4	0	4	+0	12
6	Alaves	9	3	3	3	-1	12
7	Espanol	9	3	3	3	-3	12
8	Villarreal	9	2	5	2	+2	11
9	Leganes	9	3	1	5	-10	10
10	Valencia	9	2	2	5	-3	8
11	Ath Bilbao	9	2	2	5	-4	8
12	Eibar	8	1	3	4	-4	6
13	Celta	8	1	3	4	-6	6
14	Betis	9	2	0	7	-10	6
15	Osasuna	8	1	2	5	-10	5
16	Las Palmas	9	1	2	6	-11	5
17	Malaga	9	0	4	5	-9	4
18	La Coruna	9	0	4	5	-10	4
19	Granada	9	0	3	6	-20	3
20	Sp Gijon	9	0	2	7	-11	2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.