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Serie A

Referee: Luca Banti

Fiorentina

S S T T U

2–1

Full-time

Juventus

T S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Fiorentina Juventus

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 58%

33%

83%

Points per game

1,2

2,5

Over 2.5 Ø 83%

83%

Both score Ø 67%

83%

50%

Average goals

3,8

3,2

Scored

1,7

2,3

Conceded

2,2

0,8

Goal diff per game

-0,5

+1,5

This season — Serie A · 18/18 matches

Win Ø 61%

39%

83%

Points per game

1,5

2,5

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

56%

78%

Both score Ø 59%

61%

56%

Average goals

2,9

Scored

1,6

2,2

Conceded

1,3

0,8

Goal diff per game

+0,2

+1,4

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

48% Possession 52%

16 Shots 11

6 Shots on target 4

3 Blocked shots 3

3 Goalkeeper saves 4

3 Corners 7

2 Offside 3

22 Free kicks against 20

3 Yellow cards 5

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Fiorentina 9. · Juventus 1. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Juventus	18	15	0	3	+25	45
2	Roma	20	14	2	4	+23	44
3	Napoli	20	12	5	3	+22	41
4	Lazio	20	12	4	4	+13	40
5	Inter	20	11	3	6	+10	36
6	Milan	18	11	3	4	+8	36
7	Atalanta	20	11	2	7	+8	35
8	Torino	19	8	5	6	+9	29
9	Fiorentina	18	7	6	5	+4	27
10	Cagliari	20	8	2	10	-13	26
11	Udinese	20	7	4	9	-2	25
12	Chievo	20	7	4	9	-6	25
13	Sampdoria	20	6	6	8	-4	24
14	Genoa	20	6	5	9	-5	23
15	Bologna	19	6	5	8	-7	23
16	Sassuolo	20	6	3	11	-6	21
17	Empoli	20	4	6	10	-15	18
18	Palermo	20	2	4	14	-23	10
19	Crotone	19	2	3	14	-20	9
20	Pescara	19	1	6	12	-21	9

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Juventus	10	10	0	0	+21	30
2	Roma	9	9	0	0	+20	27
3	Napoli	11	8	2	1	+14	26
4	Lazio	11	8	1	2	+12	25
5	Inter	10	7	2	1	+13	23
6	Milan	10	7	2	1	+7	23
7	Cagliari	10	7	1	2	+4	22
8	Torino	9	6	2	1	+11	20
9	Atalanta	9	6	0	3	+4	18
10	Sampdoria	10	5	3	2	+4	18
11	Fiorentina	9	4	5	0	+4	17
12	Genoa	10	4	4	2	+6	16
13	Sassuolo	10	5	1	4	+1	16
14	Chievo	10	4	3	3	-1	15
15	Bologna	9	4	2	3	+2	14
16	Udinese	11	4	2	5	+0	14
17	Empoli	10	3	2	5	-9	11
18	Crotone	9	2	2	5	-5	8
19	Pescara	9	0	4	5	-11	4
20	Palermo	9	0	1	8	-14	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Atalanta	11	5	2	4	+4	17
2	Roma	11	5	2	4	+3	17
3	Napoli	9	4	3	2	+8	15
4	Juventus	8	5	0	3	+4	15
5	Lazio	9	4	3	2	+1	15
6	Milan	8	4	1	3	+1	13
7	Inter	10	4	1	5	-3	13
8	Udinese	9	3	2	4	-2	11
9	Fiorentina	9	3	1	5	+0	10
10	Chievo	10	3	1	6	-5	10
11	Torino	10	2	3	5	-2	9
12	Palermo	11	2	3	6	-9	9
13	Bologna	10	2	3	5	-9	9
14	Empoli	10	1	4	5	-6	7
15	Genoa	10	2	1	7	-11	7
16	Sampdoria	10	1	3	6	-8	6
17	Sassuolo	10	1	2	7	-7	5
18	Pescara	10	1	2	7	-10	5
19	Cagliari	10	1	1	8	-17	4
20	Crotone	10	0	1	9	-15	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.